Despite a track that seemingly favors the Ferrari F1-75’s characteristics, Max Verstappen and Red Bull should be the overwhelming betting favorite to continue to dominate Formula 1 at the Dutch Grand Prix. Even if he is not the betting favorite come Sunday (and he will be), the orange army will make it clear that Verstappen is their favorite while partying on the North Holland beaches into the early morning.
Circuit Zandvoort and the Dutch Grand Prix have returned to the Formula 1 calendar solely due to the rise to World Champion dominator of Verstappen. One lap around Circuit Zandvoort’s fourteen turns is 2.646 miles (4.259 km), while the Dutch Grand Prix will be raced to a distance of 190.542 miles (306.648 km) for a total of 72 laps. Lewis Hamilton holds the current in-race track record, setting a 1:1.097 in the Mercedes W12 in 2021.
Circuit Zandvoort is famous for its banked corners, something entirely uncharacteristic for Formula 1 until recently – the recently designed and completed Jeddah Circuit also features a banked corner. The Wiley Ol’ Campaigner Fernando Alonso was the first driver to figure out the fastest line through the heavily banked turn 3 in Formula 1’s return to Zandvoort in 202.
Dutch Grand Prix Qualifying Betting Preview
Verstappen and Red Bull are the betting favorite at Circuit Zandvoort, with new prop bets emerging on Verstappen, including Verstappen to win 14+ races (11/10), break his record for most podiums in a season (18+ podiums) (6/5), scoring points in every race from the Dutch Grand Prix onward (9/4).
Verstappen is the betting favorite to be the fastest qualifier, listed with odds between 4/5 and 8/11. Despite Red Bull’s dominance and pace in the RB-18, Sergio Perez is paying better odds than Ferrari or Mercedes tandems, listed between 9/1 and 12/1. Although, Perez will need reliability issues or Verstappen making a mistake to out-qualify the reigning, defending World Champion.
Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc is listed with odds for the fastest qualifier ranging from 5/2 to 11/5, while Carlos Sainz is listed between 15/2 to 6/1. Mercedes seemed to take a step back during the Belgian Grand Prix weekend and will need something spectacular to out-qualify all four Red Bull and Ferrari drivers. George Russell is listed with odds ranging from 8/1 and 11/1, while Lewis Hamilton is listed with odds ranging from 10/1 and 12/1.
Dutch Grand Prix Betting Preview
Verstappen leads the way in odds for a top 6 finish, with odds ranging from 1/5 to 1/7, while Perex is listed between 1/4 and 2/9. Ferrari’s Leclerc and Sainz, alongside Mercedes’ Hamilton, are all listed at the same top 6 finishing odds as Perez, who is listed between 1/4 and 2.9. Mercedes’ Russell has odds listed between 1/5 and 2.9.
Fernando Alonso, Lando Norris, and Esteban Ocon have the most favorable odds outside the big three teams. However, a pick on Norris to put a struggling McLaren in the top 6 is entirely foolish and will require a lot to pay out. In all reality, only the Alpine dup of Alonso and Ocon have the potential to crack the top 6 and will need outstanding qualifying performances to make this a possibility.
The circuit characteristics at Zandvoort favor Ferrari, but how can you bet on Ferrari and against Max Verstappen?
Dutch Grand Prix Top 6 Finishers
P1: Max Verstappen (Red Bull)
P2: Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
P3: George Russell (Mercedes)
P4: Sergio Perez (Red Bull)
P5: Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes)
P6: Esteban Ocon (Alpine)
The Dutch Grand Prix takes place from Circuit Zandvoort, in Zandvoort, North Holland, Netherlands, from September 2 – 4, 2022.