Check out our free Alabama vs LSU pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Baton Rouge. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Alabama vs LSU Pick & Preview: Saturday, February 4th Betting Odds
Crimson Tide vs Tigers Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers
- Where: Baton Rouge at Pete Maravich Assembly Center
- Date: Saturday, February 4th
- Betting Odds: Alabama -11, ALA -679 | LSU +462 O/U 148.5
Crimson Tide Preview:
Alabama will take the floor against the Tigers with an overall record of 19-3. On the road, the Crimson Tide will be playing their 9th game of the season, having gone 7-2. This season, Alabama has been favored to win in 20 games, sitting with a mark of 17-3. For today’s contest, Alabama has a betting line set -11 points in their favor.
Alabama will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Brandon Miller who is averaging 19.18 points per game for the Crimson Tide. Miller is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Crimson Tide’s offensive game plan is the play of Mark Sears who has hit 41.3% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 13.73 points per game.
Alabama comes into today’s matchup vs LSU, looking to continue their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 80.0 points per game. Through 22 games, they have hit 44.1% of their field goal attempts. In terms of pace, the Crimson Tide have preferred to slow the game down, ranking 251st in possessions per game.
Tigers Preview:
Through 22 games, the LSU Tigers have an overall record of 12-10. So far this season, LSU has played 14 games at home, sitting with a record of 10-4. For the season, LSU has been the underdog in 12 games, sitting with a mark of 2-10. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Tigers being +11 point underdogs.
KJ Williams comes into today’s game as the Tigers’ leading scorer at 17.09 points per contest. Not only has Williams been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is LSU’s top rebounder at 7.55 boards per contest. Behind Williams, the team has benefited from the strong play of Adam Miller, who is second on the team in scoring at 12.05 points per game. Overall, he has hit 34.7% of his shots and is adding 2.09 boards per game.
On offense, LSU is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.1 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 22 games, they have only hit 31.9% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 34.64% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
Free Spread Prediction: LSU Tigers +11
Our analysis of the game between the LSU Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide suggests that LSU will cover the spread as +11 point underdogs. We believe the spread for this matchup is set too high, providing an opportunity for LSU to cover. Even if they are behind for most of the game, the Tigers have a good chance of keeping the final score closer than expected. In these types of situations, the better team’s pace of play can be crucial in covering such a large spread. However, since both teams are close to the NCAA average in possessions per game, LSU won’t have to play an unfamiliar style of basketball. Based on our model, we recommend betting on the LSU Tigers at +11.
