Check out our free Alabama vs Missouri pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Columbia. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

Alabama vs Missouri Pick & Preview: Saturday, January 21st Betting Odds

Crimson Tide vs Tigers Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Alabama Crimson Tide at Missouri Tigers
  • Where: Columbia at Mizzou Arena
  • Date: Saturday, January 21st
  • Betting Odds: Alabama -5.5, ALA -238 | MISSR +190 O/U 162.0

Crimson Tide Preview:

Alabama will take their 7 game win streak into today’s game. So far, the team has an overall record of 16-2. On the road, the Crimson Tide will be playing their 7th game of the season, having gone 6-1. So far, the Crimson Tide have been favored 16 times, going 14-2 straight up. In today’s matchup, the oddsmakers have Alabama as -5.5 point favorites.

Alabama will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Brandon Miller who is averaging 20.06 points per game for the Crimson Tide. Miller is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Crimson Tide’s offensive game plan is the play of Mark Sears who has hit 42.8% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 14.5 points per game.

Alabama comes into today’s matchup vs Missouri, looking to continue their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 80.0 points per game. Through 18 games, they have hit 44.1% of their field goal attempts. In terms of pace, the Crimson Tide have preferred to slow the game down, ranking 251st in possessions per game.

Tigers Preview:

Missouri will take the floor against the Crimson Tide with an overall record of 14-4. Currently, the Tigers have been the home team 13 times, sitting with a record of 12-1. So far, the Tigers have been the underdog 7 times, going 3-4 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +5.5 underdogs on the spread.

Kobe Brown comes into today’s game as the Tigers’ leading scorer at 15.67 points per contest. Not only has Brown been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Missouri’s top rebounder at 5.61 boards per contest. Behind Brown, the team has benefited from the strong play of D’Moi Hodge, who is second on the team in scoring at 14.5 points per game. Overall, he has hit 48.1% of his shots and is adding 3.67 boards per game.

Offensive production has been hard to come by for Missouri this season, as they are currently ranked 369th in college basketball at 65.5 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Tigers’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 28.1%, placing them 514th in the NCAA.

Free Spread Prediction: Missouri Tigers +5.5

After boiling down all the statistics and trends, it is clear why the oddsmakers have placed the Alabama Crimson Tide as the favorites to win. Not only do the Missouri Tigers have a mediocre record vs the spread at home of late 5-5, but Alabama also has the statistical edge in 3-pointers made per game and overall field goal percentage. Yet, our model shows that the current odds of -5.5 in favor of the Crimson Tide is too high and there is good value on grabbing Missouri vs the spread. While most bettors will likely be piling on the Alabama Crimson Tide as the favorite, we full good about taking the oppsite side and grabbing Missouri taking the points.

 


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