Check out our free Albany vs Massachusetts pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Amherst. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Albany vs Massachusetts Pick & Preview: Monday, December 5th Betting Odds
Great Danes vs Minutemen Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Albany Great Danes at Massachusetts Minutemen
- Where: Amherst at William D. Mullins Memorial Center
- Date: Monday, December 5th
- Betting Odds: Albany +15, ALBNY +880 | UMASS -1716 O/U 139.0
Great Danes Preview:
Coming into today’s matchup, the Albany Great Danes are in the middle of a 2 game losing streak and have an overall record of 3-6. So far, the Great Danes have played 5 games on the road, with a record of 2-3. For the season, Albany has been the underdog in 7 games, sitting with a mark of 1-6. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Great Danes being +15 point underdogs.
Albany will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Gerald Drumgoole who is averaging 13.22 points per game for the Great Danes. Drumgoole is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Great Danes’ offensive gameplan is the play of Jonathan Beagle who has hit 52.1% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 10.56 points per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Albany this season, as they are currently ranked 438th in college basketball at 61.8 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that that have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Great Danes’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 32.3%, placing them 351st in the NCAA.
The Massachusetts Minutemen will be looking to pick up their 8th win of the season and are in the middle of a 5 game win streak. So far this season, Massachusetts has played 3 games at home, sitting with a record of 2-1. At the time of this article, the oddsmakers have the Minutemen as the -15 point favorites. The Minutemen have been favored 5 times, going 4-1 straight up.
Massachusetts’ leading scorer this season is Noah Fernandes who is averaging 11.43 points per contest. So far, Fernandes has accounted for 16.33% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 2.57 rebounds per game and 3.43 assists. T.J Weeks is the second leading scorer for the Minutemen, averaging 9.71 points per game. Between him and Weeks, they are accounting for 30.2% of the team’s scoring.
So far this season, Massachusetts has put together a strong scoring offense at 75.7 points per game (67th). This strong figure has come despite the Minutemen playing at a slow tempo compared to other schools. For the season, they have hit 37.0% of their shots from outside, which is closer to the NCAA average. Massachusetts’ overall field goal percentage currently sits at 43.3%
Free Spread Prediction: Albany Great Danes +15
Our analysis for this game between Massachusetts Minutemen and the Albany Great Danes points to Albany covering the spread as +15 point underdogs. We the line for this matchup being set too high, leaving an opportunity for Albany to cover. Even if they are trailing throughout the game, the Great Danes are an excellent candidate to keep the final score closer than oddsmakers are expecting. In these situations, the better team’s pace of play can play a large role in them being able to cover such a large spread. However, given that both sides are near the NCAA average in possessions per game, Albany won’t be forced to play an unfamiliar style of basketball. Heading into the game, our model recommends locking in a bet on the Albany Great Danes at +15.
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