Check out our free Alcorn State vs Tennessee pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Knoxville. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Alcorn State vs Tennessee Pick & Preview: Sunday, December 4th Betting Odds
Braves vs Volunteers Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Alcorn State Braves at Tennessee Volunteers
- Where: Knoxville at Thompson-Boling Arena
- Date: Sunday, December 4th
- Betting Odds: Alcorn State +28, ALCST +5500 | TENN -74997 O/U 128.0
Through 8 games, the Alcorn State Braves have an overall record of 3-5. This will be the team’s 9th straight game on the road. For the season, Alcorn State has been the underdog in 8 games, sitting with a mark of 3-5. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Braves being +28 point underdogs.
Alcorn State’s leading scorer this season is Dominic Brewton who is averaging 11.62 points per contest. So far, Brewton has accounted for 18.27% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 5.12 rebounds per game and 2.12 assists. Byron Joshua is the second leading scorer for the Braves, averaging 11.62 points per game. Between him and Joshua, they are accounting for 36.5% of the team’s scoring.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Alcorn State this season, as they are currently ranked 343rd in college basketball at 66.7 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that that have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Braves’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 31.7%, placing them 378th in the NCAA.
Through 7 games, the Tennessee Volunteers have an overall record of 6-1. Currently, the Volunteers have been the home team 6 times, sitting with a record of 5-1. The Volunteers’ are sitting with a betting line that is -28 points in their favor. For the season, Tennessee has been favored to win in 7 games, sitting with a mark of 6-1.
Tennessee will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Santiago Vescovi who is averaging 12.0 points per game for the Volunteers. Vescovi is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Volunteers’ offensive gameplan is the play of Julian Phillips who has hit 36.4% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 10.86 points per game.
On offense, Tennessee comes into the game looking to control the pace of play, as they are just 490th in possessions per game. Even with their preference to slow the game down, the Volunteers’ are scoring at a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.2 points per game. So far, 40.63% of their shots have come from beyond the arc, where they have connected at a rate of 35.8%.
Free Spread Prediction: Alcorn State Braves +28
Our analysis for this game between Tennessee Volunteers and the Alcorn State Braves points to Alcorn State covering the spread as +28 point underdogs. We the line for this matchup being set too high, leaving an opportunity for Alcorn State to cover. Even if they are trailing throughout the game, the Braves are an excellent candidate to keep the final score closer than oddsmakers are expecting. In these situations, the better team’s pace of play can play a large role in them being able to cover such a large spread. However, given that both sides are near the NCAA average in possessions per game, Alcorn State won’t be forced to play an unfamiliar style of basketball. Heading into the game, our model recommends locking in a bet on the Alcorn State Braves at +28.
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