Check out our free Arkansas State vs Appalachian State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Boone. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Pick & Preview: Saturday, January 28th Betting Odds
Red Wolves vs Mountaineers Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Arkansas State Red Wolves at Appalachian State Mountaineers
- Where: Boone at Holmes Convocation Center
- Date: Saturday, January 28th
- Betting Odds: Arkansas State +9.5, ARKST +377 | APPLST -525 O/U 126.5
Red Wolves Preview:
Through 22 games, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have an overall record of 9-13. So far, the Red Wolves have played 8 games on the road, with a record of 1-7. For the season, Arkansas State has been the underdog in 11 games, sitting with a mark of 1-10. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Red Wolves being +9.5 point underdogs.
Arkansas State’s leading scorer this season is Caleb Fields, who is averaging 11.55 points per contest. So far, Fields has accounted for 17.54% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 3.45 rebounds per game and 4.77 assists. Omar El-Sheikh is the second leading scorer for the Red Wolves, averaging 10.91 points per game. Between him and El-Sheikh, they are accounting for 34.1% of the team’s scoring.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Arkansas State this season, as they are currently ranked 211th in college basketball at 70.9 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Red Wolves’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 31.1%, placing them 411th in the NCAA.
Heading into today’s matchup vs Arkansas State, the Appalachian State Mountaineers will be taking the floor for the 23rd time this season and have an overall record of 12-10. Currently, the Mountaineers have been the home team 13 times, sitting with a record of 8-5. The Mountaineers’ are sitting with a betting line that is -9.5 points in their favor. For the season, Appalachian State has been favored to win in 8 games, sitting with a mark of 4-4.
Appalachian State’s leading scorer this season is Donovan Gregory, who is averaging 12.14 points per contest. So far, Gregory has accounted for 15.81% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 3.86 rebounds per game and 4.33 assists. Terence Harcum is the second leading scorer for the Mountaineers, averaging 10.73 points per game. Between him and Harcum, they are accounting for 30.4% of the team’s scoring.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Appalachian State this season, as they are currently ranked 338th in college basketball at 66.9 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Mountaineers’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 33.3%, placing them 293rd in the NCAA.
Free Spread Prediction: Appalachian State Mountaineers -9.5
Our analysis of the matchup between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and Appalachian State Mountaineers shows that Arkansas State will cover the spread as +9.5 point underdogs. We feel that the spread for this game is set too high, creating an opportunity for Arkansas State to cover. Even if they are trailing throughout the game, the Red Wolves are a good candidate to keep the final score closer than predicted. In these scenarios, the better team’s pace of play can be a major factor in covering such a large spread. However, since both teams have possession rates that are near the NCAA average, Arkansas State won’t have to play an unfamiliar style of basketball. Based on our model, we recommend betting on the Arkansas State Red Wolves at +9.5.