Check out our free Auburn vs LSU pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Baton Rouge. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Auburn vs LSU Pick & Preview: Wednesday, January 18th Betting Odds
Tigers vs Tigers Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers
- Where: Baton Rouge at Pete Maravich Assembly Center
- Date: Wednesday, January 18th
- Betting Odds: Auburn -5, AUBRN -222 | LSU +178 O/U 138.5
Auburn heads into this matchup having played 17 games and have an overall record sitting at 14-3. So far, the Tigers have played 7 games on the road, with a record of 4-3. This season, Auburn has been favored to win in 17 games, sitting with a mark of 14-3. For today’s contest, Auburn has a betting line set -5 points in their favor.
Auburn will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Wendell Green Jr. who is averaging 13.59 points per game for the Tigers. Jr. is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Tigers’ offensive game plan is the play of Johni Broome who has hit 50.0% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 12.81 points per game.
Auburn comes into today’s matchup vs LSU, looking to continue their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 78.7 points per game. Through 17 games, they have hit 44.0% of their field goal attempts. In terms of pace, the Tigers have preferred to slow the game down, ranking 313th in possessions per game.
Through 17 games, the LSU Tigers have an overall record of 12-5. Currently, the Tigers have been the home team 11 times, sitting with a record of 10-1. So far, the Tigers have been the underdog 7 times, going 2-5 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +5 underdogs on the spread.
KJ Williams comes into today’s game as the Tigers’ leading scorer at 18.0 points per contest. Not only has Williams been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is LSU’s top rebounder at 7.24 boards per contest. Behind Williams, the team has benefited from the strong play of Adam Miller, who is second on the team in scoring at 12.76 points per game. Overall, he has hit 36.3% of his shots and is adding 2.18 boards per game.
On offense, LSU is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.1 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 17 games, they have only hit 31.9% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 34.64% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
Free Spread Prediction: LSU Tigers +5
After boiling down all the statistics and trends, it is clear why the oddsmakers have placed the Auburn Tigers as the favorites to win. Not only do the LSU Tigers have a mediocre record vs the spread at home of late 5-5, but Auburn also has the statistical edge in 3-pointers made per game and overall field goal percentage. Yet, our model shows that the current odds of -5 in favor of the Tigers is too high and there is good value on grabbing LSU vs the spread. While most bettors will likely be piling on the Auburn Tigers as the favorite, we full good about taking the oppsite side and grabbing LSU taking the points.
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