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NCAA Men’s Basketball Power Rankings and Bracketology

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NCAA Men’s Basketball Power Rankings #1-10

  1. Gonzaga (24-0)

The regular season is over and it is no surprise to anyone that the Bulldogs are undefeated. Gonzaga will win the West Coast Conference tournament and get another quality win over BYU in the championship if everything holds true.

The Bulldogs are going to be the number one overall seed and the betting favorites to cut down the nets in Indianapolis. The big question for Gonzaga is if Drew Timme wins National Player of the Year over Luka Garza, Ayo Dosunmu and Jared Butler. 

  1. Michigan (18-1)

For the first time all season Gonzaga and Baylor are not first and second in my power rankings. The Bears loss to Kansas, and Michigan seemingly getting better as the season goes, has moved the needle enough for me. 

The Wolverines are currently ranked 5th in offensive efficiency and 4th in defense, according to Kenpom. Virginia was the last team to do that in 2019 and it worked out pretty well for them.

  1. Baylor (18-1)

Baylor has not been nearly as good coming out of their three week pause. Hopefully Scott Drew can get his team performing like they were in January as they were every bit as good as Gonzaga.

The Bears have the talent to get back to that level, but they need to knock the rust off. Baylor will find out exactly where they are with games against West Virginia, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech to finish the regular season. That will be a great measuring sticks for Drew and company.

  1. Houston (20-3)

I dropped the Cougars all the way to eighth last week after a loss to Wichita State. It will be tough for the Cougars to get back into the conversation for a one seed, but Houston is playing some really good basketball right now.

They have destroyed Cincinnati, an underrated Western Kentucky team and South Florida. Kelvin Sampson has found another gear and getting Fabian White back will do a lot for a team needing a boost offensively. 

Buy stock now in the Cougars as they will be a popular underdog team to bet on in March. The Cougars have outscored their opponents by an average of just over 32 points the last three games. 

  1. Illinois (18-6)

The big question for Illini fans is the status of Ayo Dosunmu. Dosunmu suffered a broken nose against Michigan State and has not played since. 

The hope is that eventually Dosunmu will be back with a mask. Illinois has played well in his absence and some of the younger players have benefitted from more playing time. If this Illinois is at full strength expect a lot of fans from Champaign to be making the short drive to Indianapolis for the Final Four.

  1. Iowa (18-7) 

The Hawkeyes had a Jekyll and Hyde week, losing to Michigan by 22 and then going on the road and defeating Ohio State 73-57. Iowa finishes the season hosting Nebraska and Wisconsin and could climb to a one seed with a Big Ten tournament championship.

Luka Garza is averaging 24.3 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.5 blocks per game. If the Hawkeyes can play defense, and it has been much better recently, the offense is plenty talented. 

  1. Ohio State (18-7)

It has been a brutal schedule for the Buckeyes over the last week. They have lost three straight games (Michigan, Michigan State and Iowa) and have fallen down from fourth in the power rankings. 

Ohio State’s offense has been inside the top 5 all season, but has struggled their last two games. Look for Chris Holtmann, who is my pick for coach of the year, to get Ohio State headed back into the right direction. The Buckeyes have another tough test against Illinois to finish the season.

  1. Alabama (19-6)

Nate Oats still has the Crimson Tide playing solid defense, but their offense has been lacking since they put up 115 points against Georgia. John Petty Jr. has struggled the last three games making only four of his 16 three-point attempts.

If Alabama is going to make a run in March they will need to find another gear on offense. Look for Oats to rely more on Jahvon Quinerly and Jaden Shackelford as Petty and Herbert Jones have gone cold. 

  1. Colorado (19-7)

The Buffaloes have entered my top ten after being 12th last week. Colorado is riding a three-game winning streak after defeating Oregon State, USC and UCLA. 

The Pac-12 is having a down year so you haven’t heard much other than Gonzaga out west. McKinley Wright might be the best player you have never heard of. Do yourself a favor and watch a Colorado game before you fill out your bracket. 

  1. San Diego State (19-4)

This was really a coin flip between Villanova, Creighton and Florida State. The edge went to the Aztecs as they are riding a ten-game winning streak and had an impressive sweep of a very good Boise State team. 

Jordan Schakel can really shoot it, 45.4% from three-point range, and has shot 42% or better the last three seasons. With San Diego State’s defense and their ability to get hot behind the arc San Diego State could make a surprise run to the Final Four.


NCAA Men’s Basketball Power Rankings #11-25

  1. Florida State +7 
  2. Creighton +3
  3. Villanova -3 
  4. Virginia -6 
  5. Kansas +7 
  6. Loyola -5
  7. West Virginia +1
  8. Texas Tech +3
  9. Arkansas +4
  10. Purdue +4
  11. Wisconsin -6
  12. Texas +3
  13. UConn (NEW)
  14. Oklahoma State (NEW)
  15. Florida (NEW)

NCAA Men’s Basketball Bracketology

Keep in mind where the power rankings are more about how good I think teams actually are, bracketology is putting them where I think the committee would have them if the season ended today.

  • 1 Seeds

Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan and Illinois

  • 2 Seeds

Ohio State, Alabama, Iowa and Houston

  • 3 Seeds

West Virginia, Villanova, Florida State and Arkansas 

  • 4 Seeds

Creighton, Kansas, Oklahoma State and Texas 

  • 5 Seeds

Texas Tech, Purdue, Colorado and Oklahoma 

  • 6 Seeds

Virginia, USC, Florida and San Diego State

  • 7 Seeds

BYU, Tennessee, Loyola-Chicago and Clemson

  • 8 Seeds

Wisconsin, Missouri, LSU and Virginia Tech 

  • 9 Seeds

Rutgers, UCLA, Maryland and Oregon 

  • 10 Seeds

Louisville, North Carolina, UConn and St. Bonaventure

  • 11 Seeds

Drake, Georgia Tech, Xavier and VCU

  • 12 Seeds

Seton Hall/Colorado State, Saint Louis/Boise State,Toledo and Western Kentucky

  • 13 Seeds

Wright State, UC Santa Barbara, Colgate and UNC-Greensboro

  • 14 Seeds

Belmont, Liberty, Winthrop and South Dakota State

  • 15 Seeds

Grand Canyon, Abilene Christian, Vermont and Texas State

  • 16 Seeds

Prairie View A&M/North Carolina A&T, Bryant/Siena, Northeastern, Eastern Washington

  • First Four Out: Richmond, Duke, Michigan State and Wichita State
  • Next Four Out: Utah State, SMU, Indiana and Stanford


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