Check out our free Cal Poly vs Long Beach State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Long Beach. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Cal Poly vs Long Beach State Pick & Preview: Thursday, January 12th Betting Odds
Mustangs vs Beach Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Cal Poly Mustangs at Long Beach State Beach
- Where: Long Beach at Walter Pyramid
- Date: Thursday, January 12th
- Betting Odds: Cal Poly +9.5, CALPOL +368 | LBST -497 O/U 137.5
Cal Poly heads into this matchup having played 16 games and have an overall record sitting at 7-9. So far, the Mustangs have played 7 games on the road, with a record of 1-6. For the season, Cal Poly has been the underdog in 10 games, sitting with a mark of 2-8. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Mustangs being +9.5 point underdogs.
Alimamy Koroma comes into today’s game as the Mustangs’ leading scorer at 11.44 points per contest. Not only has Koroma been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Cal Poly’s top rebounder at 5.12 boards per contest. Behind Koroma, the team has benefited from the strong play of TJ Taylor, who is second on the team in scoring at 9.75 points per game. Overall, he has hit 39.6% of his shots and is adding 5.06 boards per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Cal Poly this season, as they are currently ranked 444th in college basketball at 61.5 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Mustangs’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 29.0%, placing them 495th in the NCAA.
Heading into today’s matchup vs Cal Poly, the Long Beach State Beach will be taking the floor for the 17th time this season and have an overall record of 7-9. So far this season, Long Beach State has played 9 games at home, sitting with a record of 5-4. The Beach’s are sitting with a betting line that is -9.5 points in their favor. For the season, Long Beach State has been favored to win in 8 games, sitting with a mark of 4-4.
Long Beach State’s leading scorer this season is Joel Murray, who is averaging 15.69 points per contest. So far, Murray has accounted for 20.74% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 3.88 rebounds per game and 3.75 assists. Lassina Traore is the second leading scorer for the Beach, averaging 11.06 points per game. Between him and Traore, they are accounting for 35.4% of the team’s scoring.
On offense, Long Beach State is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.9 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 16 games, they have only hit 35.4% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 31.73% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
Free Spread Prediction: Cal Poly Mustangs +9.5
The Long Beach State Beach will begin their matchup against Cal Poly Mustangs as the strong favorites to win with a point spread of -9.5. Our analysis favors Long Beach State’s chances to pull home with an easy win and cover the spread. When considering how each team prefers to play, both Long Beach State and Cal Poly are near the NCAA average in possessions per game. We like how this scenario benefits Long Beach State, as their superior talent should come through throughout the game in an easy win. Although the Beach don’t have a great track record vs the spread as the betting favorite, going 1-4 (last 5), we like their chances to come home with the ATS win.
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