Check out our free Citadel vs Samford pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Homewood. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Citadel vs Samford Pick & Preview: Saturday, February 11th Betting Odds
Bulldogs vs Bulldogs Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Citadel Bulldogs at Samford Bulldogs
- Where: Homewood at Pete Hanna Center
- Date: Saturday, February 11th
- Betting Odds: Citadel +15, CITA +852 | SAMF -1658 O/U 146.5
Bulldogs Preview:
Through 26 games, the Citadel Bulldogs have an overall record of 9-17. So far, the Bulldogs have played 13 games on the road, with a record of 5-8. For the season, Citadel has been the underdog in 19 games, sitting with a mark of 5-14. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Bulldogs being +15 point underdogs.
Stephen Clark comes into today’s game as the Bulldogs’ leading scorer at 16.96 points per contest. Not only has Clark been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Citadel’s top rebounder at 6.62 boards per contest. Behind Clark, the team has benefited from the strong play of Austin Ash, who is second on the team in scoring at 14.85 points per game. Overall, he has hit 40.6% of his shots and is adding 4.65 boards per game.
Citadel comes into today’s matchup vs Samford, looking to continue their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 76.8 points per game. Through 26 games, they have hit 44.5% of their field goal attempts. In terms of pace, the Bulldogs have preferred to slow the game down, ranking 287th in possessions per game.
Bulldogs Preview:
Samford will take the floor against the Bulldogs with an overall record of 17-9. Currently, the Bulldogs have been the home team 13 times, sitting with a record of 11-2. The Bulldogs’ are sitting with a betting line that is -15 points in their favor. For the season, Samford has been favored to win in 16 games, sitting with a mark of 13-3.
Samford’s leading scorer this season is Logan Dye, who is averaging 13.92 points per contest. So far, Dye has accounted for 17.85% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 5.46 rebounds per game and 1.23 assists. Jermaine Marshall is the second leading scorer for the Bulldogs, averaging 11.6 points per game. Between him and Marshall, they are accounting for 32.2% of the team’s scoring.
On offense, Samford is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 74.7 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 26 games, they have only hit 33.5% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 42.61% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
Free Spread Prediction: Samford Bulldogs -15
Our reasoning for feeling good about betting on the Citadel Bulldogs as +15 point underdogs at away includes their ability to control the pace of the game. This season, the Bulldogs have consistently limited possessions and slowed the game down, which could help them stay competitive against a Samford team that prefers to run. While Citadel may not have a strong track record as the underdog against the spread, the fact that they are playing at away and presenting a mismatch for the heavily favored Bulldogs gives them an advantage in our eyes.
