Check out our free Columbia vs Providence pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Providence. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Columbia vs Providence Pick & Preview: Saturday, November 26th Betting Odds
Lions vs Friars Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Columbia Lions at Providence Friars
- Where: Providence at Amica Mutual Pavilion
- Date: Saturday, November 26th
- Betting Odds: Columbia +21.5, COLMB +1500 | PROV -5333 O/U 146.0
Heading into today’s matchup vs Providence, the Columbia Lions will be taking the floor for the 8th time this season and have an overall record of 2-5. So far, the Lions have played 4 games on the road, with a record of 0-4. For the season, Columbia has been the underdog in 5 games, sitting with a mark of 0-5. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Lions being +21.5 point underdogs.
Columbia will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa who is averaging 13.86 points per game for the Lions. Rosa is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Lions’ offensive gameplan is the play of Zinou Bedri who has hit 46.0% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 10.14 points per game.
Coming into today’s game, Columbia will be looking from some improved play from their offense. Currently, the Lions are ranked 317th at 67.4 points per game. A major reason for their low scoring mumbers is the fact that they tend to work the clock on offense. This year, they are the 302nd ranked team in terms of pace. When looking at their 3-point shooting numbers, Columbia is close to the NCAA average at 35.6%.
Providence will take the floor against the Lions with an overall record of 4-2. So far this season, Providence has played 5 games at home, sitting with a record of 4-1. At the time of this article, the oddsmakers have the Friars as the -21.5 point favorites. The Friars have been favored 4 times, going 4-0 straight up.
Bryce Hopkins comes into today’s game as the Friars’ leading scorer at 15.5 points per contest. Not only has Hopkins been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Providence’s top rebounder at 8.5 boards per contest. Behind Hopkins, the team has benefited from the strong play of Jared Bynum who is second on the team in scoring at 11.17 points per game. Overall, he has hit 38.3% of his shots and is adding 2.17 boards per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Providence this season, as they are currently ranked 179th in college basketball at 71.8 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that that have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Friars’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 34.3%, placing them 225th in the NCAA.
Free Spread Prediction: Columbia Lions +21.5
Our analysis for this game between Providence Friars and the Columbia Lions points to Columbia covering the spread as +21.5 point underdogs. We the line for this matchup being set too high, leaving an opportunity for Columbia to cover. Even if they are trailing throughout the game, the Lions are an excellent candidate to keep the final score closer than oddsmakers are expecting. In these situations, the better team’s pace of play can play a large role in them being able to cover such a large spread. However, given that both sides are near the NCAA average in possessions per game, Columbia won’t be forced to play an unfamiliar style of basketball. Heading into the game, our model recommends locking in a bet on the Columbia Lions at +21.5.
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