Check out our free Florida State vs Notre Dame pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in South Bend. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

Florida State vs Notre Dame Pick & Preview: Tuesday, January 17th Betting Odds

Seminoles vs Fighting Irish Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Florida State Seminoles at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
  • Where: South Bend at Purcell Pavilion
  • Date: Tuesday, January 17th
  • Betting Odds: Florida State +5, FLST +182 | ND -226 O/U 140.5

Seminoles Preview:

Florida State heads into this matchup having played 18 games and have an overall record sitting at 5-13. So far, the Seminoles have played 7 games on the road, with a record of 0-7. For the season, Florida State has been the underdog in 10 games, sitting with a mark of 1-9. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Seminoles being +5 point underdogs.

Matthew Cleveland comes into today’s game as the Seminoles’ leading scorer at 14.44 points per contest. Not only has Cleveland been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Florida State’s top rebounder at 7.67 boards per contest. Behind Cleveland, the team has benefited from the strong play of Darin Green Jr, who is second on the team in scoring at 13.72 points per game. Overall, he has hit 41.9% of his shots and is adding 3.17 boards per game.

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Offensive production has been hard to come by for Florida State this season, as they are currently ranked 198th in college basketball at 71.0 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Seminoles’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 33.1%, placing them 318th in the NCAA.

Fighting Irish Preview:

Through 18 games, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish have an overall record of 9-9. Currently, the Fighting Irish have been the home team 12 times, sitting with a record of 9-3. The Fighting Irish’s are sitting with a betting line that is -5 points in their favor. For the season, Notre Dame has been favored to win in 13 games, sitting with a mark of 8-5.

Nate Laszewski comes into today’s game as the Fighting Irish’s leading scorer at 13.67 points per contest. Not only has Laszewski been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Notre Dame’s top rebounder at 7.78 boards per contest. Behind Laszewski, the team has benefited from the strong play of Dane Goodwin, who is second on the team in scoring at 12.22 points per game. Overall, he has hit 45.9% of his shots and is adding 4.78 boards per game.

Notre Dame comes into their matchup vs Florida State looking to improve their offensive numbers, as they are just 162nd in college basketball at 72.5 points per game. One bright spot for them has been their ability to knock down 3-point shots, as they have connected at a rate of 38.0%. So far, 42.95% of the Fighting Irish’s shots have been from beyond the arc. When looking at the team’s pace of play, they are currently a below average unit at 65.2 possessions per game.

Free Spread Prediction: Florida State Seminoles +5

After boiling down all the statistics and trends, it is clear why the oddsmakers have placed the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as the favorites to win. Not only do the Florida State Seminoles have a mediocre record vs the spread at away of late 2-8, but Notre Dame also has the statistical edge in 3-pointers made per game and overall field goal percentage. Yet, our model shows that the current odds of -5 points in favor of the Fighting Irish is too high and there is good value on grabbing Florida State vs the spread. While most bettors will likely be piling on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as the favorite, we full good about taking the oppsite side and grabbing Florida State taking the points.

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