Check out our free Florida vs LSU pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Baton Rouge. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Florida vs LSU Pick & Preview: Tuesday, January 10th Betting Odds
Gators vs Tigers Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Florida Gators at LSU Tigers
- Where: Baton Rouge at Pete Maravich Assembly Center
- Date: Tuesday, January 10th
- Betting Odds: Florida -1, FL -118 | LSU -104 O/U 139.0
The Florida Gators head into today’s game in what will be their 16th game of the season, posting a record of 8-7. On the road, the Gators will be playing their 6th game of the season, having gone 2-4. This season, Florida has been favored to win in 12 games, sitting with a mark of 8-4. For today’s contest, Florida has a betting line set -1 points in their favor.
Colin Castleton comes into today’s game as the Gators’ leading scorer at 14.73 points per contest. Not only has Castleton been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Florida’s top rebounder at 7.47 boards per contest. Behind Castleton, the team has benefited from the strong play of Trey Bonham, who is second on the team in scoring at 9.93 points per game. Overall, he has hit 40.5% of his shots and is adding 2.87 boards per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Florida this season, as they are currently ranked 212th in college basketball at 70.8 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Gators’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 30.7%, placing them 437th in the NCAA.
Through 15 games, the LSU Tigers have an overall record of 12-3. Currently, the Tigers have been the home team 10 times, sitting with a record of 10-0. So far, the Tigers have been the underdog 5 times, going 2-3 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +1 underdogs on the spread.
KJ Williams comes into today’s game as the Tigers’ leading scorer at 18.2 points per contest. Not only has Williams been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is LSU’s top rebounder at 7.67 boards per contest. Behind Williams, the team has benefited from the strong play of Adam Miller, who is second on the team in scoring at 13.33 points per game. Overall, he has hit 37.6% of his shots and is adding 2.0 boards per game.
On offense, LSU is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.1 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 15 games, they have only hit 31.9% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 34.64% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
Free Spread Prediction: Florida Gators -1
Heading into this matchup, our NCAA betting model has identified this game as a profitable opportunity and recommends taking the Florida Gators to pick up the win and cover the spread as -1 point betting favorites. Although Florida as a team is just 299th in overall shooting percentage, we see their offense putting together a strong performance against the Tigers’ defense. At -1 we see there being plenty of value in grabbing the Gators to come out on top and cover.
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