Check out our free Florida vs Mississippi State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Starkville. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

Florida vs Mississippi State Pick & Preview: Saturday, January 21st Betting Odds

Gators vs Bulldogs Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Florida Gators at Mississippi State Bulldogs
  • Where: Starkville at Humphrey Coliseum
  • Date: Saturday, January 21st
  • Betting Odds: Florida +2, FL +112 | MSPST -138 O/U 129.0

Gators Preview:

Through 18 games, the Florida Gators have an overall record of 10-8. So far, the Gators have played 8 games on the road, with a record of 3-5. For the season, Florida has been the underdog in 4 games, sitting with a mark of 0-4. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Gators being +2 point underdogs.

Colin Castleton comes into today’s game as the Gators’ leading scorer at 14.94 points per contest. Not only has Castleton been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Florida’s top rebounder at 8.06 boards per contest. Behind Castleton, the team has benefited from the strong play of Will Richard, who is second on the team in scoring at 10.06 points per game. Overall, he has hit 47.8% of his shots and is adding 4.29 boards per game.

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Offensive production has been hard to come by for Florida this season, as they are currently ranked 212th in college basketball at 70.8 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Gators’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 30.7%, placing them 437th in the NCAA.

Bulldogs Preview:

Mississippi State will take the floor against the Gators with an overall record of 12-6. Currently, the Bulldogs have been the home team 14 times, sitting with a record of 11-3. The Bulldogs’ are sitting with a betting line that is -2 points in their favor. For the season, Mississippi State has been favored to win in 14 games, sitting with a mark of 12-2.

Tolu Smith comes into today’s game as the Bulldogs’ leading scorer at 13.83 points per contest. Not only has Smith been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Mississippi State’s top rebounder at 7.89 boards per contest. Behind Smith, the team has benefited from the strong play of D.J Jeffries, who is second on the team in scoring at 9.33 points per game. Overall, he has hit 33.7% of his shots and is adding 6.17 boards per game.

Offensive production has been hard to come by for Mississippi State this season, as they are currently ranked 209th in college basketball at 70.9 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Bulldogs’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 29.5%, placing them 479th in the NCAA.

Free Spread Prediction: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2

Heading into this matchup, our NCAA betting model has identified this game as a profitable opportunity and recommends taking the Mississippi State Bulldogs to pick up the win and cover the spread as -2 point betting favorites. Although Mississippi State as a team is just 127th in overall shooting percentage, we see their offense putting together a strong performance against the Gators’ defense. At -2 we see there being plenty of value in grabbing the Bulldogs to come out on top and cover.

 


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