Check out our free Georgia Southern vs Texas State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in San Marcos. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Georgia Southern vs Texas State Pick & Preview: Thursday, January 26th Betting Odds
Eagles vs Bobcats Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Georgia Southern Eagles at Texas State Bobcats
- Where: San Marcos at Strahan Coliseum
- Date: Thursday, January 26th
- Betting Odds: Georgia Southern +3, GAS +131 | TXST -160 O/U 123.5
The Georgia Southern Eagles head into today’s game in what will be their 22nd game of the season, posting a record of 12-9. On the road, the Eagles will be playing their 9th game of the season, having gone 4-5. So far, the Eagles have been the underdog 11 times, going 5-6 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +3 underdogs on the spread.
Georgia Southern’s leading scorer this season is Andrei Savrasov, who is averaging 12.84 points per contest. So far, Savrasov has accounted for 17.04% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 6.79 rebounds per game and 1.16 assists. Jalen Finch is the second leading scorer for the Eagles, averaging 10.67 points per game. Between him and Finch, they are accounting for 32.7% of the team’s scoring.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Georgia Southern this season, as they are currently ranked 347th in college basketball at 66.4 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Eagles’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 30.3%, placing them 454th in the NCAA.
Through 21 games, the Texas State Bobcats have an overall record of 10-11. So far this season, Texas State has played 10 games at home, sitting with a record of 3-7. The Bobcats’ are sitting with a betting line that is -3 points in their favor. For the season, Texas State has been favored to win in 7 games, sitting with a mark of 3-4.
Before getting a wager down on this game, keep a close eye on the injury report before tip-off, as the Bobcats’ top scorer Mason Harrell is listed as questionable. In his 20 games, he is averaging 16.2 points per game while providing the team with an outside shooting threat. If he is unable to play, the team will be losing their top outside shooter. Without Mason Harrell out of the lineup, Tyrel Morgan is going to need to take on a bigger role. Currently, he is 2nd on the team at 8.53 points per contest to go along with 6.0 rebounds and 1.41 assists.
Texas State comes into their matchup vs Georgia Southern looking to improve their offensive numbers, as they are just 217th in college basketball at 70.7 points per game. One bright spot for them has been their ability to knock down 3-point shots, as they have connected at a rate of 38.1%. So far, 30.48% of the Bobcats’ shots have been from beyond the arc. When looking at the team’s pace of play, they are currently a below average unit at 64.2 possessions per game.
Free Spread Prediction: Georgia Southern Eagles +3
Coming into this game, we see this as a classic opportunity to cash in on a contrarian play, as the public is likely to jump on Texas State as the -3 point favorites. However, our analysis shows that the line for this game is set too high, and the Georgia Southern Eagles are an excellent bet as the road underdogs. While others might get scared off by the Eagles’ recent record vs the spread at away (4-6), we are focused on the line and see it being set too high. In this scenario, we like Georgia Southern to cover at +3.