Check out our free Iowa vs Nebraska pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Lincoln. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Iowa vs Nebraska Pick & Preview: Thursday, December 29th Betting Odds
Hawkeyes vs Cornhuskers Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Iowa Hawkeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers
- Where: Lincoln at Pinnacle Bank Arena
- Date: Thursday, December 29th
- Betting Odds: Iowa -4.5, IOWA -205 | NEBR +165 O/U 149.0
Iowa will take the floor against the Cornhuskers with an overall record of 8-4. On the road, the Hawkeyes will be playing their 2nd game of the season, having gone 1-1. This season, Iowa has been favored to win in 10 games, sitting with a mark of 7-3. For today’s contest, Iowa have a betting line set -4.5 points in their favor.
Iowa will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Patrick McCaffery who is averaging 14.25 points per game for the Hawkeyes. McCaffery is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Hawkeyes’ offensive gameplan is the play of Filip Rebraca who has hit 62.4% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 14.0 points per game.
So far this season, Iowa has put together a strong scoring offense at 83.8 points per game (7th). This strong figure has come despite the Hawkeyes playing at a slow tempo compared to other schools. For the season, they have hit 36.8% of their shots from outside, which is closer to the NCAA average. Iowa’s overall field goal percentage currently sits at 46.4%
Through 13 games, the Nebraska Cornhuskers have an overall record of 7-6. Currently, the Cornhuskers have been the home team 7 times, sitting with a record of 6-1. So far, the Cornhuskers have been the underdog 7 times, going 1-6 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +4.5 underdogs on the spread.
Nebraska will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Keisei Tominaga who is averaging 11.23 points per game for the Cornhuskers. Tominaga is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Cornhuskers’ offensive gameplan is the play of Emmanuel Bandoumel who has hit 37.0% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 9.92 points per game.
On offense, Nebraska is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.3 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 13 games, they have only hit 32.0% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 37.37% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
Free Spread Prediction: Nebraska Cornhuskers +4.5
After boiling down all the statistics and trends, it is clear why the oddsmakers have placed the Iowa Hawkeyes as the favorites to win. Not only do the Nebraska Cornhuskers have a mediocre record vs the spread at home of late 5-5, but Iowa also has the statistical edge in 3-pointers made per game and overall field goal percentage. Yet, our model shows that the current odds of -4.5 in favor of the Hawkeyes is too high and there is good value on grabbing Nebraska vs the spread. While most bettors will likely be piling on the Iowa Hawkeyes as the favorite, we full good about taking the oppsite side and grabbing Nebraska taking the points.
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