Check out our free Memphis vs UCF pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Orlando. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

Memphis vs UCF Pick & Preview: Wednesday, January 11th Betting Odds

Tigers vs Knights Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Memphis Tigers at UCF Knights
  • Where: Orlando at Addition Financial Arena
  • Date: Wednesday, January 11th
  • Betting Odds: Memphis +1.5, MPHS +103 | UCF -126 O/U 137.5

Tigers Preview:

The Memphis Tigers head into today’s game in what will be their 17th game of the season, posting a record of 12-4. So far, the Tigers have played 4 games on the road, with a record of 1-3. For the season, Memphis has been the underdog in 3 games, sitting with a mark of 1-2. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Tigers being +1.5 point underdogs.

Memphis will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Kendric Davis who is averaging 20.0 points per game for the Tigers. Davis is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Tigers’ offensive game plan is the play of DeAndre Williams who has hit 54.8% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 15.75 points per game.

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So far this season, Memphis has put together a strong scoring offense at 75.4 points per game (74th). This strong figure has come despite the Tigers playing at a slow tempo compared to other schools. For the season, they have hit 35.9% of their shots from outside, which is closer to the NCAA average. Memphis’ overall field goal percentage currently sits at 47.1%

Knights Preview:

UCF will take their 2 game win streak into today’s game. So far, the team has an overall record of 12-4. Currently, the Knights have been the home team 13 times, sitting with a record of 10-3. The Knights’ are sitting with a betting line that is -1.5 points in their favor. For the season, UCF has been favored to win in 11 games, sitting with a mark of 9-2.

Taylor Hendricks comes into today’s game as the Knights’ leading scorer at 14.5 points per contest. Not only has Hendricks been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is UCF’s top rebounder at 6.62 boards per contest. Behind Hendricks, the team has benefited from the strong play of C.J. Kelly, who is second on the team in scoring at 11.62 points per game. Overall, he has hit 40.5% of his shots and is adding 4.06 boards per game.

Offensive production has been hard to come by for UCF this season, as they are currently ranked 243rd in college basketball at 69.8 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Knights’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 35.0%, placing them 187th in the NCAA.

Free Spread Prediction: Memphis Tigers +1.5

After boiling down all the statistics and trends, it is clear why the oddsmakers have placed the UCF Knights as the favorites to win. Not only do the Memphis Tigers have a mediocre record vs the spread at away of late 5-5, but UCF also has the statistical edge in 3-pointers made per game and overall field goal percentage. Yet, our model shows that the current odds of -1.5 points in favor of the Knights is too high and there is good value on grabbing Memphis vs the spread. While most bettors will likely be piling on the UCF Knights as the favorite, we full good about taking the oppsite side and grabbing Memphis taking the points.

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