Check out our free Michigan State vs Penn State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in University Park. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

Michigan State vs Penn State Pick & Preview: Wednesday, December 7th Betting Odds

Spartans vs Nittany Lions Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Michigan State Spartans at Penn State Nittany Lions
  • Where: University Park at Bryce Jordan Center
  • Date: Wednesday, December 7th
  • Betting Odds: Michigan State +4, MST +154 | PENNST -188 O/U 134.0

Spartans Preview:

Michigan State will take the floor against the Nittany Lions with an overall record of 5-4. So far, the Spartans have played 3 games on the road, with a record of 1-2. For the season, Michigan State has been the underdog in 3 games, sitting with a mark of 1-2. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Spartans being +4 point underdogs.

Michigan State’s leading scorer this season is Tyson Walker who is averaging 14.0 points per contest. So far, Walker has accounted for 20.07% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 3.12 rebounds per game and 3.5 assists. Joey Hauser is the second leading scorer for the Spartans, averaging 12.62 points per game. Between him and Hauser, they are accounting for 38.2% of the team’s scoring.

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Michigan State comes into their matchup vs Penn State looking to improve their offensive numbers, as they are just 168th in college basketball at 72.1 points per game. One bright spot for them has been their ability to knock down 3-point shots, as they have connected at a rate of 37.8%. So far, 33.37% of the Spartans’ shots have been from beyond the arc. When looking at the team’s pace of play, they are currently a below average unit at 66.4 possessions per game.

Nittany Lions Preview:

Penn State heads into this matchup having played 8 games and have an overall record sitting at 6-2. So far this season, Penn State has played 5 games at home, sitting with a record of 5-0. The Nittany Lions’ are sitting with a betting line that is -4 points in their favor. For the season, Penn State has been favored to win in 6 games, sitting with a mark of 6-0.

Penn State’s leading scorer this season is Jalen Pickett who is averaging 16.12 points per contest. So far, Pickett has accounted for 20.77% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 6.62 rebounds per game and 7.62 assists. Seth Lundy is the second leading scorer for the Nittany Lions, averaging 13.62 points per game. Between him and Lundy, they are accounting for 38.3% of the team’s scoring.

Offensive production has been hard to come by for Penn State this season, as they are currently ranked 391st in college basketball at 64.6 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that that have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Nittany Lions’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 34.2%, placing them 237th in the NCAA.

Free Spread Prediction: Penn State Nittany Lions -4

Heading into this matchup, our NCAA betting model has identified this game as a profitable opportunity and recommends taking the Penn State Nittany Lions to pick up the win and cover the spread as -4 point betting favorites. Although Penn State as a team is just 278th in overall shooting percentage, we see their offense putting together a strong performance against the Spartans’ defense. In addition, the Nittany Lions have made bettors money who have taken them to cover at home, as they are 7-3 (last 10). At -4 we see there being plenty of value in grabbing the Nittany Lions to come out on top and cover.


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