Check out our free Michigan State vs Purdue pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in West Lafayette. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Michigan State vs Purdue Pick & Preview: Sunday, January 29th Betting Odds
Spartans vs Boilermakers Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Michigan State Spartans at Purdue Boilermakers
- Where: West Lafayette at Mackey Arena
- Date: Sunday, January 29th
- Betting Odds: Michigan State +7.5, MST +275 | PUR -358 O/U 130.0
Michigan State will take the floor against the Boilermakers with an overall record of 14-7. On the road, the Spartans will be playing their 7th game of the season, having gone 3-4. So far, the Spartans have been the underdog 7 times, going 2-5 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +7.5 underdogs on the spread.
Michigan State’s leading scorer this season is Tyson Walker, who is averaging 14.1 points per contest. So far, Walker has accounted for 20.33% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 2.43 rebounds per game and 2.67 assists. Joey Hauser is the second leading scorer for the Spartans, averaging 13.67 points per game. Between him and Hauser, they are accounting for 40.0% of the team’s scoring.
Michigan State comes into their matchup vs Purdue looking to improve their offensive numbers, as they are just 168th in college basketball at 72.1 points per game. One bright spot for them has been their ability to knock down 3-point shots, as they have connected at a rate of 37.8%. So far, 33.37% of the Spartans’ shots have been from beyond the arc. When looking at the team’s pace of play, they are currently a below average unit at 66.4 possessions per game.
Heading into today’s matchup vs Michigan State, the Purdue Boilermakers will be taking the floor for the 22nd time this season and have an overall record of 20-1. Currently, the Boilermakers have been the home team 12 times, sitting with a record of 11-1. The Boilermakers’ are sitting with a betting line that is -7.5 points in their favor. For the season, Purdue has been favored to win in 18 games, sitting with a mark of 17-1.
Zach Edey comes into today’s game as the Boilermakers’ leading scorer at 21.35 points per contest. Not only has Edey been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Purdue’s top rebounder at 12.95 boards per contest. Behind Edey, the team has benefited from the strong play of Fletcher Loyer, who is second on the team in scoring at 12.95 points per game. Overall, he has hit 39.1% of his shots and is adding 1.67 boards per game.
Through 21 games, Purdue has been playing well on offense, averaging 79.8 points per game. Even though the team has been methodical with their pace, the Boilermakers’ shooters have been hot from outside, hitting 39.1% of their shots per game. This strong shooting percentage has equated to an average of 8.74 made 3’s per contest.
Free Spread Prediction: Michigan State Spartans +7.5
After running our analysis on this game, we’ve identified the best side to take on the spread. Currently, the oddsmakers have Purdue as the favorites with a line coming in at -7.5. However, based on how these team’s matchup, we see this number being too high and like the Michigan State Spartans to cover. Both team’s have knocked down the 3-point shot at a rate similar to the NCAA average this season with Purdue at 8.74 made 3’s per game compared to Michigan State at 7.18. Look for Michigan State to put together a strong enough defensive effort to cover the spread vs the Boilermakers.