Check out our free Michigan vs Michigan State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in East Lansing. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Michigan vs Michigan State Pick & Preview: Saturday, January 7th Betting Odds
Wolverines vs Spartans Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans
- Where: East Lansing at Breslin Center
- Date: Saturday, January 7th
- Betting Odds: Michigan +4.5, MICH +160 | MST -195 O/U 139.0
Heading into today’s matchup vs Michigan State, the Michigan Wolverines will be taking the floor for the 15th time this season and have an overall record of 9-5. On the road, the Wolverines will be playing their 6th game of the season, having gone 3-3. So far, the Wolverines have been the underdog 3 times, going 0-3 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +4.5 underdogs on the spread.
Hunter Dickinson comes into today’s game as the Wolverines’ leading scorer at 18.71 points per contest. Not only has Dickinson been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Michigan’s top rebounder at 8.29 boards per contest. Behind Dickinson, the team has benefited from the strong play of Jett Howard, who is second on the team in scoring at 14.57 points per game. Overall, he has hit 44.7% of his shots and is adding 3.0 boards per game.
On offense, Michigan is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.0 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 14 games, they have only hit 34.0% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 32.33% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
Michigan State will take the floor against the Wolverines with an overall record of 10-4. Currently, the Spartans have been the home team 10 times, sitting with a record of 8-2. The Spartans’ are sitting with a betting line that is -4.5 points in their favor. For the season, Michigan State has been favored to win in 10 games, sitting with a mark of 8-2.
Michigan State’s leading scorer this season is Tyson Walker, who is averaging 13.62 points per contest. So far, Walker has accounted for 19.18% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 2.69 rebounds per game and 2.92 assists. Joey Hauser is the second leading scorer for the Spartans, averaging 13.46 points per game. Between him and Hauser, they are accounting for 38.1% of the team’s scoring.
Michigan State comes into their matchup vs Michigan looking to improve their offensive numbers, as they are just 168th in college basketball at 72.1 points per game. One bright spot for them has been their ability to knock down 3-point shots, as they have connected at a rate of 37.8%. So far, 33.37% of the Spartans’ shots have been from beyond the arc. When looking at the team’s pace of play, they are currently a below average unit at 66.4 possessions per game.
Free Spread Prediction: Michigan Wolverines +4.5
After running our analysis on this game, we’ve identified the best side to take on the spread. Currently, the oddsmakers have Michigan State as the favorites with a line coming in at -4.5. However, based on how these team’s matchup, we see this number being too high and like the Michigan Wolverines to cover. Both team’s have knocked down the 3-point shot at a rate similar to the NCAA average this season with Michigan State at 7.18 made 3’s per game compared to Michigan at 6.35. Look for Michigan to put together a strong enough defensive effort to cover the spread vs the Spartans.
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