Check out our free Murray State vs Valparaiso pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Valparaiso. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Murray State vs Valparaiso Pick & Preview: Sunday, December 4th Betting Odds
Racers vs Beacons Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Murray State Racers at Valparaiso Beacons
- Where: Valparaiso at Athletics-Recreation Center
- Date: Sunday, December 4th
- Betting Odds: Murray State -4, MURST -191 | VALP +154 O/U 137.0
Heading into today’s matchup vs Valparaiso, the Murray State Racers will be taking the floor for the 8th time this season and have an overall record of 4-3. So far, the Racers have played 4 games on the road, with a record of 2-2. This season, Murray State has been favored to win in 3 games, sitting with a mark of 2-1. For today’s contest, Murray State have a betting line set -4 points in their favor.
Murray State will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Rob Perry who is averaging 14.57 points per game for the Racers. Perry is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Racers’ offensive gameplan is the play of Jamari Smith who has hit 54.7% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 17.0 points per game.
Murray State comes into today’s matchup vs Valparaiso, looking to continue their strong offensive play, as they are averaging 79.3 points per game. Through 7 games, they have hit 47.9% of their field goal attempts. In terms of pace, the Racers’ have prefered to slow the game down, ranking 483rd in possessions per game.
Through 8 games, the Valparaiso Beacons have an overall record of 3-5. Currently, the Beacons have been the home team 4 times, sitting with a record of 3-1. So far, the Beacons have been the underdog 5 times, going 1-4 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +4 underdogs on the spread.
Ben Krikke comes into today’s game as the Beacons’ leading scorer at 19.25 points per contest. Not only has Krikke been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Valparaiso’s top rebounder at 6.75 boards per contest. Behind Krikke, the team has benefited from the strong play of Kobe King who is second on the team in scoring at 17.75 points per game. Overall, he has hit 45.2% of his shots and is adding 2.75 boards per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Valparaiso this season, as they are currently ranked 214th in college basketball at 70.8 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that that have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Beacons’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 33.3%, placing them 309th in the NCAA.
Free Spread Prediction: Valparaiso Beacons +4
In today’s matchup, our analysis has identified the best bet as an opportunity to bet on a home underdog. Coming into the game, the Murray State Racers are the betting favorite with a point spread set at -4. However, we anticipate Valparaiso putting up a strong fight and benefiting from playing at home and see them covering the spread. It is likely, the the public is going to side heavily with the Racers as the favorite. But, we see this line being set too high and like the value of taking the Beacons to cover.
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