Check out our free North Carolina vs Portland pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Portland. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
North Carolina vs Portland Pick & Preview: Thursday, November 24th Betting Odds
Tar Heels vs Pilots Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: North Carolina Tar Heels at Portland Pilots
- Where: Portland at Moda Center
- Date: Thursday, November 24th
- Betting Odds: North Carolina -14.5, NCAR -1457 | PORT +811 O/U 152.5
Tar Heels Preview:
The North Carolina Tar Heels head into today’s game in what will be their 5th game of the season, posting a record of 4-0. Today’s game will be the team’s first road contest of the season. Last year, the Tar Heels were 8-4 on the road. This season, North Carolina has been favored to win in 4 games, sitting with a mark of 4-0. For today’s contest, North Carolina have a betting line set -14.5 points in their favor.
Leading up to game time, it will be important to keep a close watch on the injury report, as the Tar Heels’ top scorer and rebounder Armando Bacot is listed as questionable on the injury report. For the season, Bacot is averaging 18.25 points and 11.75 boards. If Armando Bacot isn’t able to take the floor, look for Caleb Love to be the lead candidate to take on a larger in the offense. So far, Love has accounted for 21.98% of the team’s scoring at 17.75 points per game.
So far this season, North Carolina has put together a strong scoring offense at 77.5 points per game (45th). This strong figure has come despite the Tar Heels playing at a slow tempo compared to other schools. For the season, they have hit 36.2% of their shots from outside, which is closer to the NCAA average. North Carolina’s overall field goal percentage currently sits at 45.3%
Portland heads into this matchup having played 6 games and have an overall record sitting at 4-2. So far this season, Portland has played 4 games at home, sitting with a record of 3-1. For the season, Portland has been the underdog in 1 game, sitting with a mark of 0-1. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Pilots being +14.5 point underdogs.
Portland’s leading scorer this season is Tyler Robertson who is averaging 17.5 points per contest. So far, Robertson has accounted for 22.11% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 5.17 rebounds per game and 4.33 assists. Kristian Sjolund is the second leading scorer for the Pilots, averaging 12.17 points per game. Between him and Sjolund, they are accounting for 37.5% of the team’s scoring.
On offense, Portland is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.9 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 6 games, they have only hit 34.5% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 38.03% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
Free Spread Prediction: Portland Pilots +14.5
Our analysis for this game between Portland Pilots and the North Carolina Tar Heels points to Portland covering the spread as +14.5 point underdogs. We see the line for this matchup being set too high, leaving an opportunity for Portland to cover. Even if they are trailing throughout the game, the Pilots are an excellent candidate to keep the final score closer than oddsmakers are expecting. In these situations, the better team’s pace of play can play a large role in them being able to cover such a large spread. However, given that both sides are near the NCAA average in possessions per game, Portland won’t be forced to play an unfamiliar style of basketball. Heading into the game, our model recommends locking in a bet on the Portland Pilots at +14.5.
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