Check out our free Ole Miss vs Mississippi State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Starkville. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Ole Miss vs Mississippi State Pick & Preview: Saturday, January 7th Betting Odds
Rebels vs Bulldogs Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Ole Miss Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Where: Starkville at Humphrey Coliseum
- Date: Saturday, January 7th
- Betting Odds: Ole Miss +5, MISS +179 | MSPST -220 O/U 124.0
Heading into today’s matchup vs Mississippi State, the Ole Miss Rebels will be taking the floor for the 15th time this season and have an overall record of 8-6. So far, the Rebels have played 4 games on the road, with a record of 1-3. For the season, Ole Miss has been the underdog in 4 games, sitting with a mark of 0-4. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Rebels being +5 point underdogs.
Ole Miss will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Matthew Murrell who is averaging 14.36 points per game for the Rebels. Murrell is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Rebels’ offensive game plan is the play of Jaemyn Brakefield who has hit 52.9% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 8.86 points per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Ole Miss this season, as they are currently ranked 297th in college basketball at 68.1 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Rebels’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 32.6%, placing them 340th in the NCAA.
Heading into today’s matchup vs Ole Miss, the Mississippi State Bulldogs will be taking the floor for the 15th time this season and have an overall record of 11-3. So far this season, Mississippi State has played 12 games at home, sitting with a record of 10-2. The Bulldogs’ are sitting with a betting line that is -5 points in their favor. For the season, Mississippi State has been favored to win in 12 games, sitting with a mark of 11-1.
Tolu Smith comes into today’s game as the Bulldogs’ leading scorer at 14.36 points per contest. Not only has Smith been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Mississippi State’s top rebounder at 8.0 boards per contest. Behind Smith, the team has benefited from the strong play of D.J Jeffries, who is second on the team in scoring at 9.36 points per game. Overall, he has hit 35.1% of his shots and is adding 6.0 boards per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Mississippi State this season, as they are currently ranked 209th in college basketball at 70.9 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Bulldogs’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 29.5%, placing them 479th in the NCAA.
Free Spread Prediction: Mississippi State Bulldogs -5
Heading into this matchup, our NCAA betting model has identified this game as a profitable opportunity and recommends taking the Mississippi State Bulldogs to pick up the win and cover the spread as -5 point betting favorites. Although Mississippi State as a team is just 127th in overall shooting percentage, we see their offense putting together a strong performance against the Rebels’ defense. At -5 we see there being plenty of value in grabbing the Bulldogs to come out on top and cover.
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