Check out our free Sacramento State vs Northern Colorado pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Greeley. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Sacramento State vs Northern Colorado Pick & Preview: Saturday, February 11th Betting Odds
Hornets vs Bears Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Sacramento State Hornets at Northern Colorado Bears
- Where: Greeley at Bank of Colorado Arena
- Date: Saturday, February 11th
- Betting Odds: Sacramento State +3.5, SACST +140 | NCOL -175 O/U 141.0
The Sacramento State Hornets head into today’s game in what will be their 26th game of the season, posting a record of 12-13. So far, the Hornets have played 13 games on the road, with a record of 4-9. For the season, Sacramento State has been the underdog in 15 games, sitting with a mark of 4-11. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Hornets being +3.5 point underdogs.
Sacramento State’s leading scorer this season is Zach Chappell, who is averaging 13.88 points per contest. So far, Chappell has accounted for 20.74% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 2.72 rebounds per game and 2.0 assists. Callum McRae is the second leading scorer for the Hornets, averaging 12.16 points per game. Between him and McRae, they are accounting for 38.9% of the team’s scoring.
Coming into today’s game, Sacramento State will be looking from some improved play from their offense. Currently, the Hornets are ranked 370th at 65.4 points per game. A major reason for their low scoring mumbers is the fact that they tend to work the clock on offense. This year, they are the 550th ranked team in terms of pace. When looking at their 3-point shooting numbers, Sacramento State is close to the NCAA average at 35.9%.
Northern Colorado will take their 2 game win streak into today’s game. So far, the team has an overall record of 9-16. So far this season, Northern Colorado has played 12 games at home, sitting with a record of 6-6. At the time of this article, the oddsmakers have the Bears as the -3.5 point favorites. The Bears have been favored 11 times, going 7-4 straight up.
Northern Colorado will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Dalton Knecht who is averaging 19.92 points per game for the Bears. Knecht is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Bears’ offensive game plan is the play of Daylen Kountz who has hit 41.8% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 16.64 points per game.
Through 25 games, Northern Colorado has been playing well on offense, averaging 78.2 points per game. Even though the team has been methodical with their pace, the Bears’ shooters have been hot from outside, hitting 38.2% of their shots per game. This strong shooting percentage has equated to an average of 10.23 made 3’s per contest.
Free Spread Prediction: Sacramento State Hornets +3.5
After boiling down all the statistics and trends, it is clear why the oddsmakers have placed the Northern Colorado Bears as the favorites to win. Not only do the Sacramento State Hornets have a mediocre record vs the spread at away of late 4-6, but Northern Colorado also has the statistical edge in 3-pointers made per game and overall field goal percentage. Yet, our model shows that the current odds of -3.5 points in favor of the Bears is too high and there is good value on grabbing Sacramento State vs the spread. While most bettors will likely be piling on the Northern Colorado Bears as the favorite, we full good about taking the oppsite side and grabbing Sacramento State taking the points.