Check out our free Samford vs East Tennessee State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Johnson City. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Samford vs East Tennessee State Pick & Preview: Wednesday, January 18th Betting Odds
Bulldogs vs Buccaneers Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Samford Bulldogs at East Tennessee State Buccaneers
- Where: Johnson City at Freedom Hall Civic Center
- Date: Wednesday, January 18th
- Betting Odds: Samford -4, SAMF -189 | ETNST +154 O/U 140.0
The Samford Bulldogs will be looking to pick up their 20th win of the season and are in the middle of a 6 game win streak. So far, the Bulldogs have played 8 games on the road, with a record of 3-5. This season, Samford has been favored to win in 10 games, sitting with a mark of 8-2. For today’s contest, Samford has a betting line set -4 points in their favor.
Samford’s leading scorer this season is Logan Dye, who is averaging 13.79 points per contest. So far, Dye has accounted for 17.51% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 5.53 rebounds per game and 1.26 assists. Jermaine Marshall is the second leading scorer for the Bulldogs, averaging 11.5 points per game. Between him and Marshall, they are accounting for 31.4% of the team’s scoring.
On offense, Samford is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 74.7 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 19 games, they have only hit 33.5% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 42.61% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
The East Tennessee State Buccaneers head into today’s game in what will be their 20th game of the season, posting a record of 7-12. So far this season, East Tennessee State has played 12 games at home, sitting with a record of 4-8. For the season, East Tennessee State has been the underdog in 7 games, sitting with a mark of 2-5. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Buccaneers being +4 point underdogs.
East Tennessee State will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Jordan King who is averaging 14.05 points per game for the Buccaneers. King is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Buccaneers’ offensive game plan is the play of Jalen Haynes who has hit 55.6% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 12.0 points per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for East Tennessee State this season, as they are currently ranked 169th in college basketball at 72.1 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Buccaneers’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 35.0%, placing them 177th in the NCAA.
Free Spread Prediction: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +4
A key to this matchup, will be 3-point shooting. Coming into the game, both Samford and East Tennessee State are excellent 3-point shooting teams, averaging 9.0 and 8.78 made 3’s per game, respectively. In terms of the odds, we like the East Tennessee State Buccaneers to cover as +4 point dogs. Look for their defense to do a good enough job closing out on the Bulldogs’ outside shooters to make things difficult for Samford. At +4 we like the chances of East Tennessee State covering the spread as underdogs.
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