Check out our free SMU vs Tulsa pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Tulsa. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
SMU vs Tulsa Pick & Preview: Wednesday, January 18th Betting Odds
Mustangs vs Golden Hurricane Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: SMU Mustangs at Tulsa Golden Hurricane
- Where: Tulsa at Reynolds Center
- Date: Wednesday, January 18th
- Betting Odds: SMU -2.5, SMU -154 | TULSA +125 O/U 146.5
The SMU Mustangs head into today’s game in what will be their 19th game of the season, posting a record of 6-12. On the road, the Mustangs will be playing their 7th game of the season, having gone 1-6. This season, SMU has been favored to win in 7 games, sitting with a mark of 4-3. For today’s contest, SMU has a betting line set -2.5 points in their favor.
SMU’s leading scorer this season is Zhuric Phelps, who is averaging 17.12 points per contest. So far, Phelps has accounted for 22.37% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 3.75 rebounds per game and 2.44 assists. Zach Nutall is the second leading scorer for the Mustangs, averaging 13.61 points per game. Between him and Nutall, they are accounting for 42.4% of the team’s scoring.
On offense, SMU comes into the game looking to control the pace of play, as they are just 446th in possessions per game. Even with their preference to slow the game down, the Mustangs’ are scoring at a rate similar to the NCAA average at 74.4 points per game. So far, 42.57% of their shots have come from beyond the arc, where they have connected at a rate of 36.3%.
Golden Hurricane Preview:
Coming into today’s matchup, the Tulsa Golden Hurricane are in the middle of a 6 game losing streak and have an overall record of 4-12. So far this season, Tulsa has played 10 games at home, sitting with a record of 4-6. For the season, Tulsa has been the underdog in 12 games, sitting with a mark of 1-11. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Golden Hurricane being +2.5 point underdogs.
Tulsa will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Sam Griffin who is averaging 15.69 points per game for the Golden Hurricane. Griffin is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Golden Hurricane’s offensive game plan is the play of Bryant Selebangue who has hit 66.7% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 12.62 points per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Tulsa this season, as they are currently ranked 316th in college basketball at 67.4 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Golden Hurricane’s 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 34.2%, placing them 239th in the NCAA.
Free Spread Prediction: Tulsa Golden Hurricane +2.5
After boiling down all the statistics and trends, it is clear why the oddsmakers have placed the SMU Mustangs as the favorites to win. Not only do the Tulsa Golden Hurricane have a mediocre record vs the spread at home of late 2-7-1, but SMU also has the statistical edge in 3-pointers made per game and overall field goal percentage. Yet, our model shows that the current odds of -2.5 in favor of the Mustangs is too high and there is good value on grabbing Tulsa vs the spread. While most bettors will likely be piling on the SMU Mustangs as the favorite, we full good about taking the oppsite side and grabbing Tulsa taking the points.