Check out our free South Florida vs SMU pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Dallas. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
South Florida vs SMU Pick & Preview: Sunday, January 29th Betting Odds
Bulls vs Mustangs Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: South Florida Bulls at SMU Mustangs
- Where: Dallas at Moody Coliseum
- Date: Sunday, January 29th
- Betting Odds: South Florida +2, SFL +112 | SMU -137 O/U 146.0
Through 21 games, the South Florida Bulls have an overall record of 9-12. So far, the Bulls have played 7 games on the road, with a record of 3-4. For the season, South Florida has been the underdog in 10 games, sitting with a mark of 3-7. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Bulls being +2 point underdogs.
South Florida will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Tyler Harris who is averaging 16.48 points per game for the Bulls. Harris is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Bulls’ offensive game plan is the play of Russel Tchewa who has hit 60.8% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 11.52 points per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for South Florida this season, as they are currently ranked 491st in college basketball at 57.5 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Bulls’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 25.2%, placing them 560th in the NCAA.
SMU will be looking to pick up a win in today’s game vs South Florida in order to snap their current 2 game losing streak. So far this season, SMU has played 12 games at home, sitting with a record of 5-7. At the time of this article, the oddsmakers have the Mustangs as the -2 point favorites. The Mustangs have been favored 9 times, going 5-4 straight up.
SMU’s leading scorer this season is Zhuric Phelps, who is averaging 17.11 points per contest. So far, Phelps has accounted for 22.31% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 3.74 rebounds per game and 2.58 assists. Zach Nutall is the second leading scorer for the Mustangs, averaging 13.48 points per game. Between him and Nutall, they are accounting for 41.7% of the team’s scoring.
On offense, SMU comes into the game looking to control the pace of play, as they are just 446th in possessions per game. Even with their preference to slow the game down, the Mustangs’ are scoring at a rate similar to the NCAA average at 74.4 points per game. So far, 42.57% of their shots have come from beyond the arc, where they have connected at a rate of 36.3%.
Free Spread Prediction: South Florida Bulls +2
Our betting model for this contest between the South Florida Bulls and the SMU Mustangs has identified South Florida at +2 as today’s best bet. Although the Bulls are the betting underdogs, we like how they have been performing vs the spread at away. Over the school’s last 10 road games, they have a record of 9-1 vs the spread. Although SMU has shot well from behind the arc this season, look for the Bulls’ defense to put the clamps down with their 3-point defense. Our recommendation is to jump on South Florida to cover as +2 point road underdogs.