Check out our free Tarleton State vs Stephen F. Austin pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Nacogdoches. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Tarleton State vs Stephen F. Austin Pick & Preview: Wednesday, February 15th Betting Odds
Texans vs Lumberjacks Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Tarleton State Texans at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
- Where: Nacogdoches at Johnson Coliseum
- Date: Wednesday, February 15th
- Betting Odds: Tarleton State +6.5, TARL +235 | SFAUS -300 O/U 137.5
Texans Preview:
Heading into today’s matchup vs Stephen F. Austin, the Tarleton State Texans will be taking the floor for the 27th time this season and have an overall record of 14-12. So far, the Texans have played 14 games on the road, with a record of 4-10. For the season, Tarleton State has been the underdog in 15 games, sitting with a mark of 4-11. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Texans being +6.5 point underdogs.
Tarleton State will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Lue Williams who is averaging 11.12 points per game for the Texans. Williams is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Texans’ offensive game plan is the play of Freddy Hicks who has hit 45.0% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 16.0 points per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Tarleton State this season, as they are currently ranked 392nd in college basketball at 64.6 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Texans’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 30.5%, placing them 447th in the NCAA.
Lumberjacks Preview:
Stephen F. Austin will take the floor against the Texans with an overall record of 16-9. So far this season, Stephen F. Austin has played 12 games at home, sitting with a record of 10-2. At the time of this article, the oddsmakers have the Lumberjacks as the -6.5 point favorites. The Lumberjacks have been favored 14 times, going 10-4 straight up.
Sadaidriene Hall comes into today’s game as the Lumberjacks’ leading scorer at 13.04 points per contest. Not only has Hall been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Stephen F. Austin’s top rebounder at 6.36 boards per contest. Behind Hall, the team has benefited from the strong play of Latrell Jossell, who is second on the team in scoring at 12.0 points per game. Overall, he has hit 45.4% of his shots and is adding 1.71 boards per game.
On offense, Stephen F. Austin is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 74.7 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 25 games, they have only hit 33.4% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 30.95% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.
Free Spread Prediction: Tarleton State Texans +6.5
Coming into this game, we see this as a classic opportunity to cash in on a contrarian play, as the public is likely to jump on Stephen F. Austin as the -6.5 point favorites. However, our analysis shows that the line for this game is set too high, and the Tarleton State Texans are an excellent bet as the road underdogs. While others might get scared off by the Texans’ recent record vs the spread at away (3-7), we are focused on the line and see it being set too high. In this scenario, we like Tarleton State to cover at +6.5.
