Check out our free Tennessee vs LSU pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Baton Rouge. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

Tennessee vs LSU Pick & Preview: Saturday, January 21st Betting Odds

Volunteers vs Tigers Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Tennessee Volunteers at LSU Tigers
  • Where: Baton Rouge at Pete Maravich Assembly Center
  • Date: Saturday, January 21st
  • Betting Odds: Tennessee -11, TENN -706 | LSU +472 O/U 130.0

Volunteers Preview:

The Tennessee Volunteers head into today’s game in what will be their 19th game of the season, posting a record of 15-3. On the road, the Volunteers will be playing their 5th game of the season, having gone 4-1. This season, Tennessee has been favored to win in 17 games, sitting with a mark of 15-2. For today’s contest, Tennessee has a betting line set -11 points in their favor.

Tennessee’s leading scorer this season is Olivier Nkamhoua, who is averaging 10.83 points per contest. So far, Nkamhoua has accounted for 14.62% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 5.0 rebounds per game and 2.28 assists. Santiago Vescovi is the second leading scorer for the Volunteers, averaging 12.93 points per game. Between him and Vescovi, they are accounting for 29.2% of the team’s scoring.

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On offense, Tennessee comes into the game looking to control the pace of play, as they are just 490th in possessions per game. Even with their preference to slow the game down, the Volunteers’ are scoring at a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.2 points per game. So far, 40.63% of their shots have come from beyond the arc, where they have connected at a rate of 35.8%.

Tigers Preview:

LSU heads into this matchup having played 18 games and have an overall record sitting at 12-6. So far this season, LSU has played 12 games at home, sitting with a record of 10-2. For the season, LSU has been the underdog in 8 games, sitting with a mark of 2-6. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Tigers being +11 point underdogs.

KJ Williams comes into today’s game as the Tigers’ leading scorer at 17.89 points per contest. Not only has Williams been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is LSU’s top rebounder at 7.28 boards per contest. Behind Williams, the team has benefited from the strong play of Adam Miller, who is second on the team in scoring at 12.33 points per game. Overall, he has hit 35.3% of his shots and is adding 2.22 boards per game.

On offense, LSU is scoring a rate similar to the NCAA average at 73.1 points per game. This figure has come despite struggling to knock down shots from outside. Through 18 games, they have only hit 31.9% of their 3-point field goal attempts. For the season, 34.64% of their shots have come from beyond the arc.

Free Spread Prediction: LSU Tigers +11

Our analysis of the game between the LSU Tigers and Tennessee Volunteers suggests that LSU will cover the spread as +11 point underdogs. We believe the spread for this matchup is set too high, providing an opportunity for LSU to cover. Even if they are behind for most of the game, the Tigers have a good chance of keeping the final score closer than expected. In these types of situations, the better team’s pace of play can be crucial in covering such a large spread. However, since both teams are close to the NCAA average in possessions per game, LSU won’t have to play an unfamiliar style of basketball. Based on our model, we recommend betting on the LSU Tigers at +11.

 


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