Check out our free Texas State vs Arkansas State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Jonesboro. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

Texas State vs Arkansas State Pick & Preview: Thursday, January 12th Betting Odds

Bobcats vs Red Wolves Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Texas State Bobcats at Arkansas State Red Wolves
  • Where: Jonesboro at First National Bank Arena
  • Date: Thursday, January 12th
  • Betting Odds: Texas State -2.5, TXST -150 | ARKST +123 O/U 120.5

Bobcats Preview:

Heading into today’s matchup vs Arkansas State, the Texas State Bobcats will be taking the floor for the 18th time this season and have an overall record of 9-8. On the road, the Bobcats will be playing their 9th game of the season, having gone 6-3. This season, Texas State has been favored to win in 5 games, sitting with a mark of 2-3. For today’s contest, Texas State has a betting line set -2.5 points in their favor.

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Texas State will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Mason Harrell who is averaging 15.8 points per game for the Bobcats. Harrell is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Bobcats’ offensive game plan is the play of Brandon Davis who has hit 45.2% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 8.0 points per game.

Texas State comes into their matchup vs Arkansas State looking to improve their offensive numbers, as they are just 217th in college basketball at 70.7 points per game. One bright spot for them has been their ability to knock down 3-point shots, as they have connected at a rate of 38.1%. So far, 30.48% of the Bobcats’ shots have been from beyond the arc. When looking at the team’s pace of play, they are currently a below average unit at 64.2 possessions per game.

Red Wolves Preview:

Heading into today’s matchup vs Texas State, the Arkansas State Red Wolves will be taking the floor for the 18th time this season and have an overall record of 9-8. So far this season, Arkansas State has played 10 games at home, sitting with a record of 8-2. For the season, Arkansas State has been the underdog in 6 games, sitting with a mark of 1-5. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Red Wolves being +2.5 point underdogs.

Arkansas State’s leading scorer this season is Caleb Fields, who is averaging 11.82 points per contest. So far, Fields has accounted for 17.83% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 3.53 rebounds per game and 4.65 assists. Omar El-Sheikh is the second leading scorer for the Red Wolves, averaging 11.35 points per game. Between him and El-Sheikh, they are accounting for 35.0% of the team’s scoring.

Offensive production has been hard to come by for Arkansas State this season, as they are currently ranked 211th in college basketball at 70.9 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Red Wolves’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 31.1%, placing them 411th in the NCAA.

Free Spread Prediction: Texas State Bobcats -2.5

For this matchup, our college basketball betting model points to their being value in taking the Texas State on the spread as -2.5 point favorites over the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Not only do we see the team continuing to perform well vs the spread on the road, as the school is 6-4 vs the spread (last 10), they are due to shut down a Arkansas State unit that struggles with their outside shooting. Look for a good defensive effort to be the key reason that the Bobcats take care of business and cover as -2.5 point favorites.

 


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