Check out our free Texas State vs Troy pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Troy. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Texas State vs Troy Pick & Preview: Saturday, February 4th Betting Odds
Bobcats vs Trojans Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Texas State Bobcats at Troy Trojans
- Where: Troy at Trojan Arena
- Date: Saturday, February 4th
- Betting Odds: Texas State +5, TXST +178 | TROY -226 O/U 128.5
Bobcats Preview:
Texas State will take the floor against the Trojans with an overall record of 11-13. On the road, the Bobcats will be playing their 13th game of the season, having gone 7-6. So far, the Bobcats have been the underdog 13 times, going 5-8 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +5 underdogs on the spread.
Texas State will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Mason Harrell who is averaging 15.9 points per game for the Bobcats. Harrell is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Bobcats’ offensive game plan is the play of Tyrel Morgan who has hit 44.4% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 8.45 points per game.
Texas State comes into their matchup vs Troy looking to improve their offensive numbers, as they are just 217th in college basketball at 70.7 points per game. One bright spot for them has been their ability to knock down 3-point shots, as they have connected at a rate of 38.1%. So far, 30.48% of the Bobcats’ shots have been from beyond the arc. When looking at the team’s pace of play, they are currently a below average unit at 64.2 possessions per game.
Trojans Preview:
Through 24 games, the Troy Trojans have an overall record of 13-11. So far this season, Troy has played 12 games at home, sitting with a record of 8-4. The Trojans’ are sitting with a betting line that is -5 points in their favor. For the season, Troy has been favored to win in 14 games, sitting with a mark of 8-6.
Xavier Williams comes into today’s game as the Trojans’ leading scorer at 11.46 points per contest. Not only has Williams been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Troy’s top rebounder at 6.33 boards per contest. Behind Williams, the team has benefited from the strong play of Christyon Eugene, who is second on the team in scoring at 11.91 points per game. Overall, he has hit 48.8% of his shots and is adding 3.09 boards per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Troy this season, as they are currently ranked 259th in college basketball at 69.2 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Trojans’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 33.1%, placing them 321st in the NCAA.
Free Spread Prediction: Troy Trojans -5
Heading into this matchup, our NCAA betting model has identified this game as a profitable opportunity and recommends taking the Troy Trojans to pick up the win and cover the spread as -5 point betting favorites. Although Troy as a team is just 304th in overall shooting percentage, we see their offense putting together a strong performance against the Bobcats’ defense. At -5 we see there being plenty of value in grabbing the Trojans to come out on top and cover.
