Check out our free Toledo vs Northern Illinois pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Dekalb. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

Toledo vs Northern Illinois Pick & Preview: Saturday, January 14th Betting Odds

Rockets vs Huskies Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Toledo Rockets at Northern Illinois Huskies
  • Where: Dekalb at NIU Convocation Center
  • Date: Saturday, January 14th
  • Betting Odds: Toledo -11.5, TOLEDO -711 | NILL +480 O/U 155.5

Rockets Preview:

Heading into today’s matchup vs Northern Illinois, the Toledo Rockets will be taking the floor for the 17th time this season and have an overall record of 10-6. On the road, the Rockets will be playing their 8th game of the season, having gone 3-5. So far, the Rockets have been favored 12 times, going 8-4 straight up. In today’s matchup, the oddsmakers have Toledo as -11.5 point favorites.

Toledo will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer JT Shumate who is averaging 18.44 points per game for the Rockets. Shumate is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Rockets’ offensive game plan is the play of RayJ Dennis who has hit 44.2% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 18.12 points per game.

So far this season, Toledo has put together a strong scoring offense at 80.7 points per game (11th). This strong figure has come despite the Rockets playing at a slow tempo compared to other schools. For the season, they have hit 36.0% of their shots from outside, which is closer to the NCAA average. Toledo’s overall field goal percentage currently sits at 48.4%

Huskies Preview:

The Northern Illinois Huskies head into today’s game in what will be their 17th game of the season, posting a record of 5-11. Currently, the Huskies have been the home team 4 times, sitting with a record of 2-2. So far, the Huskies have been the underdog 9 times, going 1-8 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +11.5 underdogs on the spread.

Northern Illinois’ leading scorer this season is Keshawn Williams, who is averaging 17.87 points per contest. So far, Williams has accounted for 24.68% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 4.67 rebounds per game and 2.4 assists. David Coit is the second leading scorer for the Huskies, averaging 14.38 points per game. Between him and Coit, they are accounting for 45.9% of the team’s scoring.

Offensive production has been hard to come by for Northern Illinois this season, as they are currently ranked 400th in college basketball at 64.1 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Huskies’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 31.8%, placing them 375th in the NCAA.

Free Spread Prediction: Northern Illinois Huskies +11.5

Our analysis of the Northern Illinois Huskies vs Toledo Rockets game indicates that Northern Illinois will cover the spread as +11.5 point underdogs. We think the line for this matchup is too high, giving Northern Illinois an opportunity to cover. Even if they are behind throughout the game, the Huskies have a strong chance of keeping the final score closer than oddsmakers are anticipating. In these cases, the better team’s pace of play can play a significant role in covering such a large spread. However, since both teams have possession rates that are close to the NCAA average, Northern Illinois won’t have to play an unfamiliar style of basketball. Our model recommends betting on the Northern Illinois Huskies at +11.5.

 


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