Check out our free Troy vs Texas State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in San Marcos. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
Troy vs Texas State Pick & Preview: Saturday, December 31st Betting Odds
Trojans vs Bobcats Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: Troy Trojans at Texas State Bobcats
- Where: San Marcos at Strahan Coliseum
- Date: Saturday, December 31st
- Betting Odds: Troy -1, TROY -120 | TXST -103 O/U 132.5
The Troy Trojans head into today’s game in what will be their 15th game of the season, posting a record of 8-6. On the road, the Trojans will be playing their 7th game of the season, having gone 3-4. So far, the Trojans have been favored 6 times, going 3-3 straight up. In today’s matchup, the oddsmakers have Troy as -1 point favorites.
Troy’s leading scorer this season is Christyon Eugene who is averaging 12.07 points per contest. So far, Eugene has accounted for 15.05% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 2.86 rebounds per game and 2.64 assists. Nelson Phillips is the second leading scorer for the Trojans, averaging 11.57 points per game. Between him and Phillips, they are accounting for 29.5% of the team’s scoring.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Troy this season, as they are currently ranked 259th in college basketball at 69.2 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that that have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Trojans’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 33.1%, placing them 321st in the NCAA.
The Texas State Bobcats head into today’s game in what will be their 15th game of the season, posting a record of 7-7. Currently, the Bobcats have been the home team 7 times, sitting with a record of 3-4. So far, the Bobcats have been the underdog 6 times, going 3-3 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +1 underdogs on the spread.
Texas State will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Mason Harrell who is averaging 16.83 points per game for the Bobcats. Harrell is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Bobcats’ offensive gameplan is the play of Brandon Davis who has hit 42.9% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 7.73 points per game.
Texas State comes into their matchup vs Troy looking to improve their offensive numbers, as they are just 217th in college basketball at 70.7 points per game. One bright spot for them has been their ability to knock down 3-point shots, as they have connected at a rate of 38.1%. So far, 30.48% of the Bobcats’ shots have been from beyond the arc. When looking at the team’s pace of play, they are currently a below average unit at 64.2 possessions per game.
Free Spread Prediction: Texas State Bobcats +1
After running our analysis on this game, we’ve identified the best side to take on the spread. Currently, the oddsmakers have Troy as the favorites with a line coming in at -1. However, based on how these team’s matchup, we see this number being too high and like the Texas State Bobcats to cover. Both team’s have knocked down the 3-point shot at a rate similar to the NCAA average this season with Troy at 8.0 made 3’s per game compared to Texas State at 6.39. Look for Texas State to put together a strong enough defensive effort to cover the spread vs the Trojans.
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