Check out our free UNLV vs Fresno State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Fresno. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

UNLV vs Fresno State Pick & Preview: Saturday, January 21st Betting Odds

Runnin’ Rebels vs Bulldogs Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: UNLV Runnin’ Rebels at Fresno State Bulldogs
  • Where: Fresno at Save Mart Center
  • Date: Saturday, January 21st
  • Betting Odds: UNLV -4, UNLV -186 | FREST +151 O/U 129.5

Runnin’ Rebels Preview:

Through 18 games, the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels have an overall record of 12-6. On the road, the Runnin’ Rebels will be playing their 5th game of the season, having gone 3-2. So far, the Runnin’ Rebels have been favored 13 times, going 9-4 straight up. In today’s matchup, the oddsmakers have UNLV as -4 point favorites.

UNLV’s leading scorer this season is EJ Harkless, who is averaging 16.44 points per contest. So far, Harkless has accounted for 21.46% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 4.56 rebounds per game and 3.39 assists. Luis Rodriguez is the second leading scorer for the Runnin’ Rebels, averaging 12.44 points per game. Between him and Rodriguez, they are accounting for 37.7% of the team’s scoring.

Offensive production has been hard to come by for UNLV this season, as they are currently ranked 242nd in college basketball at 69.9 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Runnin’ Rebels’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 33.9%, placing them 264th in the NCAA.

Bulldogs Preview:

The Fresno State Bulldogs head into today’s game in what will be their 18th game of the season, posting a record of 6-11. Currently, the Bulldogs have been the home team 7 times, sitting with a record of 4-3. So far, the Bulldogs have been the underdog 9 times, going 2-7 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +4 underdogs on the spread.

Isaih Moore comes into today’s game as the Bulldogs’ leading scorer at 12.12 points per contest. Not only has Moore been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Fresno State’s top rebounder at 7.88 boards per contest. Before getting a bet down on this game, we recommend keeping close watch on the availability of Jemarl Baker, as he is currently listed as questionable. If he can’t play, the Bulldogs’ will be without their 2nd leading scorer at Jemarl Baker points per game.

Offensive production has been hard to come by for Fresno State this season, as they are currently ranked 395th in college basketball at 64.4 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Bulldogs’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 32.3%, placing them 353rd in the NCAA.

Free Spread Prediction: Fresno State Bulldogs +4

After boiling down all the statistics and trends, it is clear why the oddsmakers have placed the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels as the favorites to win. Not only do the Fresno State Bulldogs have a mediocre record vs the spread at home of late 2-8, but UNLV also has the statistical edge in 3-pointers made per game and overall field goal percentage. Yet, our model shows that the current odds of -4 in favor of the Runnin’ Rebels is too high and there is good value on grabbing Fresno State vs the spread. While most bettors will likely be piling on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels as the favorite, we full good about taking the oppsite side and grabbing Fresno State taking the points.

 


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