Check out our free USC vs Oregon State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Corvallis. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.
USC vs Oregon State Pick & Preview: Saturday, February 11th Betting Odds
Trojans vs Beavers Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAB
- Teams: USC Trojans at Oregon State Beavers
- Where: Corvallis at Gill Coliseum
- Date: Saturday, February 11th
- Betting Odds: USC -9, USC -473 | OREGST +347 O/U 130.5
Trojans Preview:
The USC Trojans head into today’s game in what will be their 25th game of the season, posting a record of 17-7. On the road, the Trojans will be playing their 8th game of the season, having gone 4-4. So far, the Trojans have been favored 14 times, going 13-1 straight up. In today’s matchup, the oddsmakers have USC as -9 point favorites.
USC will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Boogie Ellis who is averaging 16.58 points per game for the Trojans. Ellis is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Trojans’ offensive game plan is the play of Drew Peterson who has hit 45.7% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 14.04 points per game.
Coming into today’s game, USC will be looking from some improved play from their offense. Currently, the Trojans are ranked 159th at 72.6 points per game. A major reason for their low scoring mumbers is the fact that they tend to work the clock on offense. This year, they are the 389th ranked team in terms of pace. When looking at their 3-point shooting numbers, USC is close to the NCAA average at 36.0%.
Beavers Preview:
Coming into today’s matchup, the Oregon State Beavers are in the middle of a 3 game losing streak and have an overall record of 9-16. So far this season, Oregon State has played 13 games at home, sitting with a record of 8-5. For the season, Oregon State has been the underdog in 17 games, sitting with a mark of 3-14. Currently, the oddsmakers have the lines set with the Beavers being +9 point underdogs.
Oregon State will be counting on another strong performance from the team’s leading scorer Jordan Pope who is averaging 12.76 points per game for the Beavers. Pope is also important to the team’s ability to score on the perimeter. So far, he leads the team in 3-point shots made. Also key to the Beavers’ offensive game plan is the play of Glenn Taylor Jr. who has hit 43.4% of his field goal attempts on his way to averaging 10.92 points per game.
Offensive production has been hard to come by for Oregon State this season, as they are currently ranked 296th in college basketball at 68.3 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Beavers’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 31.9%, placing them 371st in the NCAA.
Free Spread Prediction: Oregon State Beavers +9
Our analysis of the matchup between the Oregon State Beavers and USC Trojans shows that Oregon State will cover the spread as +9 point underdogs. We feel that the spread for this game is set too high, creating an opportunity for Oregon State to cover. Even if they are trailing throughout the game, the Beavers are a good candidate to keep the final score closer than predicted. In these scenarios, the better team’s pace of play can be a major factor in covering such a large spread. However, since both teams have possession rates that are near the NCAA average, Oregon State won’t have to play an unfamiliar style of basketball. Based on our model, we recommend betting on the Oregon State Beavers at +9.
