Check out our free Valparaiso vs Illinois State pick and preview for this NCAA Basketball game in Normal. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this College Basketball matchup.

Valparaiso vs Illinois State Pick & Preview: Saturday, January 21st Betting Odds

Beacons vs Redbirds Matchup at a Glance

  • Sport: NCAAB
  • Teams: Valparaiso Beacons at Illinois State Redbirds
  • Where: Normal at Redbird Arena
  • Date: Saturday, January 21st
  • Betting Odds: Valparaiso +6, VALP +222 | ILLST -281 O/U 133.5

Beacons Preview:

The Valparaiso Beacons head into today’s game in what will be their 21st game of the season, posting a record of 8-12. On the road, the Beacons will be playing their 8th game of the season, having gone 1-7. So far, the Beacons have been the underdog 12 times, going 1-11 straight up. Heading into today’s contest, they are the +6 underdogs on the spread.

Ben Krikke comes into today’s game as the Beacons’ leading scorer at 17.75 points per contest. Not only has Krikke been key to the team’s scoring efforts, but he is Valparaiso’s top rebounder at 5.75 boards per contest. Behind Krikke, the team has benefited from the strong play of Kobe King, who is second on the team in scoring at 17.15 points per game. Overall, he has hit 42.1% of his shots and is adding 3.65 boards per game.

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Offensive production has been hard to come by for Valparaiso this season, as they are currently ranked 214th in college basketball at 70.8 points per game. A major reason for low scoring totals is the fact that they have played at a below average pace, and have struggled to knock down outside shots. As a team, the Beacons’ 3-point shooting percentage sits at just 33.3%, placing them 309th in the NCAA.

Redbirds Preview:

The Illinois State Redbirds head into today’s game in what will be their 21st game of the season, posting a record of 8-12. Currently, the Redbirds have been the home team 10 times, sitting with a record of 5-5. The Redbirds’ are sitting with a betting line that is -6 points in their favor. For the season, Illinois State has been favored to win in 9 games, sitting with a mark of 6-3.

Illinois State’s leading scorer this season is Darius Burford, who is averaging 11.1 points per contest. So far, Burford has accounted for 16.42% of the team’s scoring. In addition, he is contributing 4.0 rebounds per game and 2.2 assists. Seneca Knight is the second leading scorer for the Redbirds, averaging 10.9 points per game. Between him and Knight, they are accounting for 32.5% of the team’s scoring.

On offense, Illinois State comes into the game looking to control the pace of play, as they are just 286th in possessions per game. Even with their preference to slow the game down, the Redbirds’ are scoring at a rate similar to the NCAA average at 74.2 points per game. So far, 36.91% of their shots have come from beyond the arc, where they have connected at a rate of 36.4%.

Free Spread Prediction: Illinois State Redbirds -6

Heading into this matchup, our NCAA betting model has identified this game as a profitable opportunity and recommends taking the Illinois State Redbirds to pick up the win and cover the spread as -6 point betting favorites. Although Illinois State as a team is just 151st in overall shooting percentage, we see their offense putting together a strong performance against the Beacons’ defense. At -6 we see there being plenty of value in grabbing the Redbirds to come out on top and cover.

 


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