Check out our free Falcons vs Aztecs pick and preview for NCAAF week 13 game in San Diego. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week’s NCAAF matchup.
Falcons vs Aztecs Pick & Preview: NCAAF Week 13 Betting Odds
On Saturday, November 26th at 9:00 PM ET, the San Diego State Aztecs and Air Force Falcons at Snapdragon Stadium in San Diego, CA. CBSS will carry the TV coverage for the game. The odds for this week 13 Mountain West matchup have the Falcons as the -1.5 point favorite on the spread. The over-under point total is currently set at 44.
Falcons vs Aztecs Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAF
- Teams: Air Force Falcons at San Diego State Aztecs
- Where: San Diego at Snapdragon Stadium
- Date: Saturday, November 26th
- Betting Odds:
- AIRF -1.5, AIRF -129 | SDST +106 O/U 44
As the Falcons travel to take on the San Diego State Aztecs, they have an overall record of 8-3. This includes going 4-3 in Mountain West action.
In their previous game, Air Force knocked off Colorado State by a score of 24-12. However, grabbing the home win, Falcons did not cover the spread, as they were 22.0 point favorites. With their 36 combined points, the two teams remained below the over-under line of 42.5. In the loss, the team’s defense gave up a total of 244 yards, with 65 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 20th in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, Air Force is ranked 8th in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 179 yards through the air.
Heading into this week’s action, Air Force has a tough matchup against a San Diego State defense performing well in many advanced statistics, including EPA in which they are 21st in college football. On paper, moving the ball could be tough for Air Force as they are generating explosive plays at a below average rate. Look for Air Force to establish the run against San Diego State as not only do they hand the ball off at an above average rate, but they have one of the better rush success rates in college football. In addition, opposing team’s have found success on the ground vs the San Diego State front seven. Heading into the game, the Falcons will be looking to turn things around in the passing game, as their per game average of 72.64 yards places them 217th in the NCAA. So far, they are the 227th ranked team in attempts per contest (7.0).
As the Aztecs travel to take on the Air Force Falcons, they have an overall record of 7-4. This includes going 5-2 in Mountain West action.
In their last game, San Diego State defeated New Mexico 34-10, despite being the 14.5 point underdogs. The two team’s combined to score 44 points, surpassing the over-under betting line of 36.5. In the loss, the team’s defense gave up a total of 209 yards, with 97 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 33rd in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, San Diego State is ranked 82nd in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 112 yards through the air.
Coming into this week’s game, the San Diego State offense is averaging 23.0. So far, big plays have been hard to come by for the unit, as they rank poorly in explosive plays in both on the ground and through the air. However, they have an opportunity to put together an above average performance vs a Air Force defense ranked 54th in EPA. Throughout the season, the San Diego State offense has leaned on their rushing attack, but comes into the game with a below average success rate. This week could be an opportunity to improve their overall rushing numbers Air Force is vulnerable up front. Heading into the game, the Aztecs will be looking to turn things around in the passing game, as their per game average of 169.36 yards places them 162nd in the NCAA. So far, they are the 189th ranked team in attempts per contest (24.45).
Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NCAFF Game
In terms of betting, the Falcons have an ATS record of 5-6-0. Their current over-under record sits at 5-6-0. In their last 5 games away from home, the Falcons have a straight up record of 3-2-0 while going 3-2-0 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 31.0 points per game in these contests.
In terms of betting, the Aztecs have an ATS record of 5-6-0. Their current over-under record sits at 5-6-0. San Diego State has played well in their previous 5 home games, going 5-0-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 25.6 points per game while allowing 14.4. The team’s also performed well vs the spread at 2-3-0.
Falcons vs Aztecs Pick
Free Spread Prediction: San Diego State Aztecs 1.5
Free Spread Prediction: Under 44