- Georgia undefeated after a year of blowout victories
- Bryce Young looks to separate himself from the rest in the race for the Heisman
- Can Georgia finally get the Crimson monkey off their back?
This is the game we have all been waiting for. The one that has felt inevitable since opening kickoff Week 1 of the college football season. Alabama takes on Georgia after a thrilling 4OT win against their hated in-state rivals Auburn, while Georgia comes into the game after another thorough beatdown of Georgia Tech. Whoever wins this game will have the inside track at being #1 in the nation going into the College Football Playoffs, especially with Ohio State’s defeat to Michigan over the weekend. Whoever loses, however, will have to wait and see how the rest of the championship games play out. Alabama has far more to lose in this game than Georgia because a one-loss Georgia team will most likely still make the playoffs, while a two-loss Alabama might find themselves on the outside looking in.
Georgia vs Alabama Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: College Football
- Teams: Georgia vs Alabama
- Where: Atlanta, Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Date: 12/4, 4PM
- Betting Odds:
- Spread: Georgia -6
- Moneyline: Georgia -240 Alabama +200
- Total: 50.5
- at Caesars
Georgia Preview: Destiny or Disappointment?
If there is one word to describe this year’s Georgia squad, it’s dominant. Aside from an opening week 10-3 win over a weaker-than-usual Clemson team, Georgia has beaten their opponents 311 to 63. Sixty-three! No one has scored more than 17 points against the Bulldogs D all season, and they have shut out three different teams. And that’s just the defense. Offensively no one has been able to slow down Georgia either, whether that be stopping the air attack led by Stetson Bennett or the potent run game led by Zamir White and James Cook.
It seems like no one can stop Georgia, as though the Bulldogs have been chosen by heaven itself to win the 2021 SEC Championship Game. But there still has to be some doubt in the minds of Bulldogs fans, because they have been here before. In 2019, 2018, and 2011 Georgia went into the SEC Championship Game with an 11-1 record and lost each time, two of which were to Alabama. In 2017 Georgia defeated Auburn to win their only SEC crown since 2005, only to lose in overtime of the National Championship Game played in Atlanta at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Who was their opponent? None other than Alabama. I don’t know who is going to win, but I do know one thing for certain: there are going to be a lot of nervous folks wearing Red and Black on Saturday.
Alabama Preview: Should We Be Worried About the Offense?
I know it sounds like a silly question because Alabama has been an offensive powerhouse for years, but considering what we just saw in the Iron Bowl, I think it is a legitimate concern. It took three and a half quarters for Alabama to score against Auburn, kicking a field goal with 8:44 left in the 4th Quarter. You could say it was a fluke, or crazy things happen all the time in rivalry games (see: Auburn’s game-winning TD after a missed FG against Alabama in 2013). And you would be completely correct. However, this is not the first time Alabama struggled to score this year.
We should not forget that the Crimson Tide only scored 20 points against LSU, the same LSU team that allowed 49 and 38 points to the likes of Central Michigan and UCLA respectively. They also had their troubles against Texas A&M and Tennessee before flipping a switch in the 4th quarter against both, though not soon enough in the game against the Aggies. Alabama cannot afford to do the same against Georgia, who have not scored less than 30 points since Week 1.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis for This College Football Game
Before I get into my picks, I want to provide a few tidbits of information. As I have mentioned before, Georgia has only won the SEC Championship once since 2005. In fact, the SEC West Champ has won 11 of the last 12 matches against the SEC East Champ. Alabama has also beaten Georgia six games in a row by an average of 11.6 points/game. Georgia is 8-4 ATS while Alabama is 6-6.
Spread: 6 points is a lot of points, especially for a team that has not beaten Alabama since the first Transformers movie was in theaters (2007: the peak of American cinema). With that in mind, I have to take Alabama +6 here. When was the last time Alabama was given points, let alone 6? That’s a lot for anybody, which makes me wonder if that spread was set because of the combination of Alabama’s 3 scoreless quarters against Auburn and Georgia’s complete annihilation of Georgia Tech. I would not be surprised if that line trends downward throughout the week, especially as millions of people start throwing money around.
Moneyline: I have changed my mind on who I think is going to win a dozen times while writing this article, because even though the sportsbooks are saying Georgia -240, to me this is a toss-up. Everything is pointing in Georgia’s favor statistically. Not only are they undefeated and playing right down the road in Atlanta, but they also have more impressive wins against common opponents. But they are playing Alabama, who has played spoiler to their dreams for so long. Which is why I am siding with Alabama in this one. Not only because of the recent history but also because Alabama has more to play for. Georgia definitely wants to win this game, but Alabama needs to win if they are to have a shot at the playoffs. And since I feel like this game could go either way, taking Alabama at +200 is a risk that I think is worth taking.
Total: I tend to take the Under in most games, regardless of sport. Perhaps that’s because I am a defensive-minded person and enjoy a good 10-3 or 14-10 game, but I feel like 50.5 is a little low for this match. Especially when you consider that both teams could put up 30+ points each.
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