Check out our free Tigers vs Mustangs pick and preview for NCAAF week 13 game in Dallas. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week’s NCAAF matchup.
Tigers vs Mustangs Pick & Preview: NCAAF Week 13 Betting Odds
Kickoff for this matchup between the Memphis Tigers and SMU Mustangs is set for 3:30 PM ET. The game will be played in Dallas, TX at Gerald J. Ford Stadium with ESN2 carrying television coverage. The -4.5 head into this American Athletic matchup as the 4.5 point favorite to come away with the win. The over-under point total is currently set at 69.5.
Tigers vs Mustangs Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAF
- Teams: Memphis Tigers at SMU Mustangs
- Where: Dallas at Gerald J. Ford Stadium
- Date: Saturday, November 26th
- Betting Odds:
- SMU -4.5, MPHS +154 | SMU -189 O/U 69.5
As the Tigers travel to take on the SMU Mustangs, they have an overall record of 6-5. This includes going 3-4 in American Athletic action.
Last week, the Tigers knocked off North Alabama by a score of 59-0. With their 59 combined points, the two teams remained below the over-under line of 67.5. In the loss, the team’s defense gave up a total of 124 yards, with 100 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 36th in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, Memphis is ranked 155th in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 24 yards through the air.
Coming into this week’s game, the Memphis offense is averaging 35.45. So far, big plays have been hard to come by for the unit, as they rank poorly in explosive plays in both on the ground and through the air. However, they have an opportunity to put together an above average performance vs a SMU defense ranked 113rd in EPA. One matchup to watch in this game, is if Memphis can generate some success in the run game. So far, the team is averaging 141.18 rush yards per game and have a matchup vs a SMU defense that is vulnerable up front. So far, the Tigers are the 32nd ranked team in pass yards per game, with an average of 279.09. This has come while throwing the ball an average of 34.64 times per contest, placing them 68th in the NCAA.
As the Mustangs travel to take on the Memphis Tigers, they have an overall record of 6-5. This includes going 4-3 in American Athletic action.
In their last matchup, SMU fell by a score of 59-24 to Tulane. Heading into the game, the Mustangs were 3.5 point underdogs on the spread, leading to a loss vs the spread. The two team’s combined to score 83 points, surpassing the over-under betting line of 65.0. In the win, the team’s defense gave up a total of 451 yards, with 310 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 178th in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, SMU is ranked 133rd in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 141 yards through the air.
Leading into this week’s game, look for a SMU offense to put together a strong performance. This season, the team is averaging 38.82 points per game and is generating explosive plays in the pass game at a high rate. The team will be taking on a Memphis defense currently ranked just 55th in EPA. One matchup to watch in this game, is if SMU can generate some success in the run game. So far, the team is averaging 158.73 rush yards per game and have a matchup vs a Memphis defense that is vulnerable up front. In the passing game, the Mustangs will look to continue their strong play, as they are the 14th ranked team in pass yards per game at, 326.18. So far, they are 20th in pass attempts, at 39.82 per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NCAFF Game
In terms of betting, the Tigers have an ATS record of 4-6-0. Their current over-under record sits at 8-2-0. Across the Tigers last 5 road games, the team averaged 29.2 points per game while allowing 35.6. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3-0, while going 1-4-0 straight-up.
In terms of betting, the Mustangs have an ATS record of 5-5-0. Their current over-under record sits at 5-5-0. When looking at their past 5 home matchups, SMU has an ATS record of 2-3-0 while averaging 44.6 per game. The team went 3-2-0 overall in these games.
Tigers vs Mustangs Pick
Free Spread Prediction: SMU Mustangs -4.5
Free Spread Prediction: Under 69.5
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