Check out our free Wolfpack vs Tar Heels pick and preview for NCAAF week 13 game in Chapel Hill. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week’s NCAAF matchup.
Wolfpack vs Tar Heels Pick & Preview: NCAAF Week 13 Betting Odds
Kickoff for this matchup between the NC State Wolfpack and North Carolina Tar Heels is set for 3:30 PM ET. The game will be played in Chapel Hill, NC at Kenan Memorial Stadium with ABC carrying television coverage. The -6.5 head into this Atlantic Coast matchup as the 6.5 point favorite to come away with the win. The over-under point total is currently set at 56.
Wolfpack vs Tar Heels Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAF
- Teams: NC State Wolfpack at North Carolina Tar Heels
- Where: Chapel Hill at Kenan Memorial Stadium
- Date: Friday, November 25th
- Betting Odds:
- NCAR -6.5, NCST +196 | NCAR -246 O/U 56
As the Wolfpack travel to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels, they have an overall record of 7-4. This includes going 3-4 in Atlantic Coast action.
NC State is coming off a 15 loss to Louisville by a score of 25-10. The Wolfpack entered the game as 4.0 point road underdogs, making this an ATS loss. With their 35 combined points, the two teams remained below the over-under line of 43.5. In the win, the team’s defense gave up a total of 345 yards, with 192 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 19th in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, NC State is ranked 105th in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 153 yards through the air.
Coming into this week’s game, the NC State offense is averaging 24.91. So far, big plays have been hard to come by for the unit, as they rank poorly in explosive plays in both on the ground and through the air. However, they have an opportunity to put together an above average performance vs a North Carolina defense ranked 120th in EPA. One matchup to watch in this game, is if NC State can generate some success in the run game. So far, the team is averaging 126.64 rush yards per game and have a matchup vs a North Carolina defense that is vulnerable up front. Heading into the game, the Wolfpack will be looking to turn things around in the passing game, as their per game average of 218.09 yards places them 113rd in the NCAA. So far, they are the 65th ranked team in attempts per contest (34.73).
Tar Heels Preview:
As the Tar Heels travel to take on the NC State Wolfpack, they have an overall record of 9-2. This includes going 6-1 in Atlantic Coast action.
In their previous game, the Tar Heels lost by a score of 21-17 to Georgia Tech. However, they were able to cover the spread as 21.5 point underdogs. With their 38 combined points, the two teams remained below the over-under line of 62.5. In the win, the team’s defense gave up a total of 373 yards, with 186 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 152nd in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, North Carolina is ranked 160th in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 187 yards through the air.
A matchup to keep an eye on in this game is if the North Carolina offense will continue to rack up explosive plays against a North Carolina defense that ranks well in several advanced analytics. Currently, the Wolfpack are 31st in defensive EPA. On the other side, Tar Heels heads into action averaging 38.0 points per game. Look for the Tar Heels offense to struggle on the ground, as they are facing a NC State defense that is tough up front. This season, the Wolfpack are averaging 163.82 yards per game and have a below average rush rate compared to other teams. In the passing game, the Tar Heels will look to continue their strong play, as they are the 13th ranked team in pass yards per game at, 328.91. So far, they are 47th in pass attempts, at 36.18 per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NCAFF Game
In terms of betting, the Wolfpack have an ATS record of 2-7-0. Their current over-under record sits at 2-6-1. Although NC State has a straight up record of 1-4-0 in their last 5 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-5-0. The team averaged 20.4 points per game in these games.
In terms of betting, the Tar Heels have an ATS record of 5-4-1. Their current over-under record sits at 4-6-0. In their last 5 games at home, the Tar Heels have a straight up record of 3-2-0 while going 2-3-0 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 37.6 points per game in these contests.
Wolfpack vs Tar Heels Pick
Free Spread Prediction: North Carolina Tar Heels -6.5
Free Total Prediction: Over 56
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