Check out our free Tar Heels vs Ducks pick and preview for NCAAF week 1 game in San Diego. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week’s NCAAF matchup.
Tar Heels vs Ducks Pick & Preview: NCAAF Week 1 Betting Odds
On Wednesday, December 28th at 8:00 PM ET, the North Carolina Tar Heels and Oregon Ducks at Petco Park in San Diego, CA. Fox is carrying television coverage for game. The Ducks are the favorite to come away with the win, in this non-conference matchup. The over-under point total is currently set at 70.5.
Tar Heels vs Ducks Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAF
- Teams: North Carolina Tar Heels at Oregon Ducks
- Where: San Diego at Petco Park
- Date: Wednesday, December 28th
- Betting Odds:
- ORE -14, NCAR +399 | ORE -560 O/U 70.5
Tar Heels Preview:
The Tar Heels take on the Oregon Ducks with a Atlantic Coast record of 6-2 while going 9-4 overall.
In their last matchup, North Carolina fell by a score of 39-10 to Clemson. Heading into the game, the Tar Heels were 7.5 point underdogs on the spread, leading to a loss vs the spread. With their 49 combined points, the two teams remained below the over-under line of 63.5. In the win, the team’s defense gave up a total of 385 yards, with 68 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 120th in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, North Carolina is ranked 164th in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 317 yards through the air.
A matchup to keep an eye on in this game is if the North Carolina offense will continue to rack up explosive plays against a North Carolina defense that ranks well in several advanced analytics. Currently, the Ducks are 87th in defensive EPA. On the other side, Tar Heels heads into action averaging 35.0 points per game. One matchup to watch in this game, is if North Carolina can generate some success in the run game. So far, the team is averaging 156.38 rush yards per game and have a matchup vs a Oregon defense that is vulnerable up front. In the passing game, the Tar Heels will look to continue their strong play, as they are the 16th ranked team in pass yards per game at, 317.23. So far, they are 37th in pass attempts, at 37.69 per game.
As the Ducks travel to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels, they have an overall record of 9-3. This includes going 7-2 in Pac-12 action.
In their last matchup, Oregon fell by a score of 38-34 to Oregon State. Heading into the game, the Ducks were 2.0 point underdogs on the spread, leading to a loss vs the spread. The two team’s combined to score 72 points, surpassing the over-under betting line of 57.0. In the win, the team’s defense gave up a total of 328 yards, with 268 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 42nd in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, Oregon is ranked 166th in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 60 yards through the air.
Coming into this week’s game, the Oregon offense is averaging 39.67. So far, big plays have been hard to come by for the unit, as they rank poorly in explosive plays in both on the ground and through the air. However, they have an opportunity to put together an above average performance vs a North Carolina defense ranked 118th in EPA. This season, the Oregon offense has turned to the run at a below average rate. But, this week they have an opportunity to move the ball on the ground as North Carolina has struggled up front. For the year, the Ducks are averaging 216.25 yards per gameon the ground. In the passing game, the Ducks will look to continue their strong play, as they are the 23rd ranked team in pass yards per game at, 291.5. So far, they are 87th in pass attempts, at 33.5 per game.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NCAFF Game
In terms of betting, the Tar Heels have an ATS record of 5-6-1. Their current over-under record sits at 5-7-0. North Carolina has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 5-0-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 33.4 points per game while allowing 29.8. The team’s also performed well vs the spread at 2-2-1.
In terms of betting, the Ducks have an ATS record of 8-4-0. Their current over-under record sits at 7-5-0. When looking at their past 5 home matchups, Oregon has an ATS record of 4-1-0 while averaging 37.0 per game. The team went 4-1-0 overall in these games.
Tar Heels vs Ducks Pick
Free Spread Prediction: Oregon Ducks -14
Free Total Prediction: Over 70.5