Check out our free Bobcats vs Jaguars pick and preview for NCAAF week 11 game in Mobile. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week’s NCAAF matchup.
Bobcats vs Jaguars Pick & Preview: NCAAF Week 11 Betting Odds
On Saturday, November 12th at 5:00 PM ET, the South Alabama Jaguars and Texas State Bobcats at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, AL. ESPN+ will carry the TV coverage for the game. The -16.5 head into this Sun Belt matchup as the 16.5 point favorite to come away with the win. The over-under point total is currently set at 47.5.
Bobcats vs Jaguars Matchup at a Glance
- Sport: NCAAF
- Teams: Texas State Bobcats at South Alabama Jaguars
- Where: Mobile at Hancock Whitney Stadium
- Date: Saturday, November 12th
- Betting Odds:
- SALA -16.5, TXST +564 | SALA -877 O/U 47.5
As the Bobcats travel to take on the South Alabama Jaguars, they have an overall record of 3-6. This includes going 1-4 in Sun Belt action.
In their previous game, the Bobcats lost by a score of 31-30 to UL Monroe. However, they were able to cover the spread as 2.5 point underdogs. The two team’s combined to score 61 points, surpassing the over-under betting line of 52.5. In the win, the team’s defense gave up a total of 380 yards, with 67 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 48th in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, Texas State is ranked 140th in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 313 yards through the air.
Heading into this week’s action, Texas State has a tough matchup against a South Alabama defense performing well in many advanced statistics, including EPA in which they are 16th in college football. On paper, moving the ball could be tough for Texas State as they are generating explosive plays at a below average rate. One matchup to watch in this game, is if Texas State can generate some success in the run game. So far, the team is averaging 86.89 rush yards per game and have a matchup vs a South Alabama defense that is vulnerable up front. Heading into the game, the Bobcats will be looking to turn things around in the passing game, as their per game average of 241.89 yards places them 80th in the NCAA. So far, they are the 38th ranked team in attempts per contest (37.44).
As the Jaguars travel to take on the Texas State Bobcats, they have an overall record of 7-2. This includes going 4-1 in Sun Belt action.
In their last game, South Alabama defeated Georgia Southern 38-31, despite being the 3.5 point underdogs. The two team’s combined to score 69 points, surpassing the over-under betting line of 60.5. In the loss, the team’s defense gave up a total of 366 yards, with 88 coming on the ground. So far, the team is ranked 6th in rush yards allowed per game. Currently, South Alabama is ranked 96th in passing yards allowed and is coming off a game in which they gave up 278 yards through the air.
Coming into this week’s game, the South Alabama offense is averaging 32.33. So far, big plays have been hard to come by for the unit, as they rank poorly in explosive plays in both on the ground and through the air. However, they have an opportunity to put together an above average performance vs a Texas State defense ranked 35th in EPA. One matchup to watch in this game, is if South Alabama can generate some success in the run game. So far, the team is averaging 167.44 rush yards per game and have a matchup vs a Texas State defense that is vulnerable up front. Heading into the game, the Jaguars will be looking to turn things around in the passing game, as their per game average of 264.78 yards places them 54th in the NCAA. So far, they are the 86th ranked team in attempts per contest (33.78).
Odds & Free Betting Analysis for this NCAFF Game
In terms of betting, the Bobcats have an ATS record of 5-4-0. Their current over-under record sits at 4-5-0. Across the Bobcats last 5 road games, the team averaged 15.6 points per game while allowing 33.6. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3-0, while going 0-5-0 straight-up.
In terms of betting, the Jaguars have an ATS record of 6-3-0. Their current over-under record sits at 5-4-0. When looking at their past 5 home matchups, South Alabama has an ATS record of 3-2-0 while averaging 30.8 per game. The team went 3-2-0 overall in these games.
Bobcats vs Jaguars Pick
Free Spread Prediction: Texas State Bobcats 16.5
Free Total Prediction: Over 47.5