2021 MLB Win Totals: Predicting win total is a little more challenging this year than in previous years. The 2020 baseball season had to be cut short from 162 games into a 60 game season. That is only a third of the season. Once the shortened season got going it became a mess.
Players had to sit out games, teams had to stop playing for weeks and the actual game of baseball itself was just different and sad. This year the MLB is looking to have a full season like the NBA and NFL did with no cancellations or issues.
The Dodgers are the team everyone is after this year since they won the World Series in 2020. After the Dodgers, the win total standings are pretty wide open for other teams.
The Dodgers are projected first in win totals with 103.5. This is one of the highest win totals I think anyone has ever seen. In 2019 the Dodgers won 106 games and in the shortened 2020 season they were on track to win 116 games.
In fact, LA has three Cy Young contenders with Clayton Kershaw, Walker Buehler and the reigning National League Cy Young winner, Trever Bauer. Additionally they also have Julio Urias, Dustin May and David Price, former 2019 Cy Young winner, in the rotation.
The Dodgers have been grooming many young players and their organizational depth has been outstanding for years. Dustin May and Julio Urias, Walker Buehler are all 25 or younger.
In addition to youth, the Dodgers have plenty of depth. They also have 2 MVP position players with Cody Bellinger, Mookie Betts and Justin Turner.
The Dodgers are in the NL West which has three bad teams: the Giants, Diamondbacks, and the Rockies. The Dodgers are incredibly talented and have a pitching staff like no other.
I would put the Dodgers over 103.5 wins this season. People think the Dodgers are going to come out slow because they won the World Series but that isn’t the case this year.
This team is hungry for many more Championships and won’t be slowing down anytime soon.
Next on my list is the San Diego Padres. The Padres are projected to win 93.5 games and I would take the over on this. The Padres made big plays in the off season re-signing Fernando Taits Jr. and signing former Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Blake Snell.
Last season the Padres were on track to win 100 games but due to the 60 game season, it is hard to know if they would’ve kept that pace up for sure. This year the Padres have a better team and more confidence.
The Padres and Dodgers are in the same division so I understand why people are saying that there is no way one team will win 104 games and the other will win 94 games but in 2015 the NL central had 3 teams with 95+ wins.
I am predicting the Astros win over 87 games this season. The Astros lost Jorge Springer who was a vital part of the team but a lot of skilled players remain. Names like Jose Altuve, Michael Brantley, Carlos Correa, and Alex Bregman are still on the roster.
As we all know the Astros cheated and the world shamed them and continues to shame them. That being said, this team is mad and wants to prove everyone wrong. They want to show the world they are good enough to win the World Series without cheating.
In the AL West, the Astros are up against the A’s, Rangers, Mariners, and Angels. The A’s lost Liam Hendricks and Marcus Semien which won’t hurt the team a lot but it makes them worse. The Angels are a team you shouldn’t rely on to win games against teams like the Astros or Dodgers.
The Ranger and Mariners haven’t been contenders in their division for a while now so expect the Astros to win the AL West which puts them at around 90 wins.
The Phillies are projected to win 81.5 games this season. The Phillies kept JT Realmuto and Didi Gregorious. They also added Archie Bradley enhancing their shotty bullpen. The Phillies were 28-32 last year and won 10 of 11 games at one point. Aside from that one streak they were pretty bad.
They have two aces in Aaron Nola and Zack Wheeler which is great but they will have to do most of the work for the staff in a full regular season. The Phillies will go under 81.5 winning around 78 games.