The Chicago Cubs and Chicago White Sox are set to battle on Saturday in what is always a fun crosstown rivalry. Currently, most sportsbooks have the Cubs as the favorite at -1.5.
Overall, the Cubs have the edge in runs with 5.09, while the White Sox have the edge in hits with 8.71. Chicago has been privy to the walk a little bit more with 3.80 per game, and they have also amassed more strikeouts at 9.07 per game.
The Cubs have a better overall record at 46-42, and that includes a 17-26 record on the road. The White Sox have done a solid job at home, compiling a 24-19 record.
The Cubs are 41-26 as the favorite, while the White Sox are 24-35 as the underdog. Additionally, the Cubs are 45-43 ATS while the White Sox have a 39-45 mark.
Lester looks to turn a better outing
Jon Lester has had an interesting season to this point. It is kind of unlike him in the sense that he is just above .500 at 7-6. His 3.89 ERA is certainly respectable.
In his last start against Cincinnati on June 30, he pitched 5 2/3 innings, surrendering five hits and three earned runs while striking out eight batters. Facing 24 hitters on 117 pitches, he certainly gave it his all.
Overall, the White Sox have done decently against him, recording 25 hits in 91 at-bats. That is good enough for a .275 batting average.
The hitter who has the most success against him statistically is Jose Abreu. In 18 at-bats, he has recorded six hits, including a home run and four runs batted in. That is good enough for a .333 average.
Welington Castillo has also seen Lester well. In 10 at-bats, he has four hits including a double. That is good enough for a .400 batting average.
Giolito needs another solid start
Lucas Giolito is having a tremendous year. With an 11-2 record and a 2.72 ERA, he is undoubtedly one of the best pitchers in the American League.
In his last start, he was masterful. On June 30 against Minnesota, he pitched five innings, giving up one hit and striking out four as he faced 16 batters.
This Cubs lineup has struggled against him. In 55 at-bats, they have 12 hits. That is good enough for a .218 batting average.
The batter that has had the most success against him statistically is Willson Contreras. In seven at-bats, he has two home runs and five runs batted in. He also has two walks. His efforts have amounted to a .286 batting average.
I would feel comfortable taking the Cubs in this one. With stars like Javier Baez and Kris Bryant leading the way, that should be plenty of star power for Lester to get the win.
To their credit, the White Sox have plenty of star power of their own; however, the Cubs lineup is a little more experienced. Take the Cubs -1.5 in this game. They should be able to cover the spread.