The Los Angeles Angels and Texas Rangers are set to face off on Thursday in what is an Independence Day contest. Currently, most sportsbooks have the Rangers as favorites at -1.5.
The Rangers are 46-40 overall while the Angels come in at 44-43. Texas has been very good at home, posting a 28-17 mark while the Angels are .500 at 22-22 away from home.
The Rangers have fared very well as the favorite, recording a 19-9 mark. The Angels have struggled as the underdog, going 14-19.
In the last 10 games head-to-head, Los Angeles has the advantage in runs scored with 4.80, hits with 8.10, and walks with 4.90. Texas has the advantage with 9.50 strikeouts.
Canning looks to continue success
On the season, Griffin Canning is 3-4 with a 3.79 ERA. He’s dropped three of his last four decisions, though he won his last start, going six innings and allowing three hits and two runs in a win over Oakland last week.
Canning has one start against the Rangers this season, on May 24, going five innings and allowing three hits and one run, striking out five and walking two. He got a no-decision in the game, which was eventually won by Texas.
Canning was able to hold down the Rangers’ big guns in that game, though Shin-Soo Choo was seeing the ball well against him, going 2-for-3 with a solo home run in the contest.
Lynn tries to stay sharp
Lance Lynn has had a masterful year. He is 10-4 with a 4.00 ERA. His last start against Tampa Bay on June 28 was successful, to say the least. In eight innings of work, he gave up three hits and a walk while striking out 10 batters. Throwing 112 pitches, he faced 28 batters and dominated most of them.
The Angels have struggled against Lynn. In 128 at-bats, they have 38 hits. That is good enough for a .213 batting average. A batter who has had success against him is Zack Cozart. In 51 at-bats, he has nine hits including three home runs and five runs batted in. Even still, he has a .176 batting average.
Another batter Lynn has to watch out for is Andrelton Simmons. In 11 at-bats, Simmons has five hits, including a home run and three runs batted in. Those totals have aided a .455 batting average.
Lynn has to pick his spots on Thursday. He shouldn’t be too worried about this lineup, but he will have to be careful about when he chooses to ease off versus when he has to locate his pitches.
I would definitely take the Rangers in this one. Lynn is coming off a great start, and he should continue to pitch well on Thursday. The Angels certainly have firepower, but I think Lynn will be too much for them to overcome. Make sure to bet the Rangers -1.5 in this one.