The Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies are set to face off in what should be an exciting Thursday night matchup. Currently, most sportsbooks have the Dodgers winning this one at -1.5.
The Rockies are 14-24 as the underdog this season. They are 26-16 ATS away. Los Angeles has fared much better. They are 21-17 away and 53-24 as the favorite.
The Dodgers have the edge in just about every major category, especially over the course of the last 10 games between these two teams. They have scored 6.50 runs per game, have tallied 9.50 hits, and have amassed 4.10 walks. Colorado has 9.50 strikeouts, which is not necessarily the best statistic.
Buehler looks to continue dominance
Walker Buehler has been absolutely electric over the course of these past couple games. In his last start, he pitched brilliantly against Colorado on June 21.
In what was a 4-2 win for Los Angeles, he gave up three hits and two runs in nine innings of work. He struck out 16, as he left batters guessing all night. The win improved his record to 8-1 and lowered his ERA to a 2.96 mark.
The entire Rockies lineup has been mystified by him. In total, they have a .171 batting average and 47 strikeouts. The batter who has had the most success against him is Mark Reynolds. In three at-bats, Reynolds has one hit, which went for a home run, and four runs batted in. With two walks to boot, that equals out to a .333 batting average.
This is a lineup that Buehler should be able to have success against. In particular, one of Colorado’s best hitters, Nolan Arenado, has struggled against Buehler. In 19 at-bats, he has only four hits and one run batted in. He has struck out eight times, and he has not seen the ball well off Buehler.
Lambert faces a new challenge
Peter Lambert looks to have a better game than the last time he faced the Los Angeles Dodgers. In five innings of work, he gave up seven hits and three earned runs. He suffered a no-decision in what was a 5-4 loss for Colorado.
The Dodgers lineup has seen Lambert well. In particular, Alex Verdugo has his number. In three at-bats, he has two hits, including a home run. With a run batted in to boot, he has totaled a .667 batting average. Matt Beaty is also a player that has seen Lambert well. He has two hits in two at-bats and has a run batted in as well.
Tale of the tape
Los Angeles is 7-3 in their last 10 games, while Colorado is an even 5-5. A win here could create momentum for either side, and as we get into the later months of baseball, that’s exactly what a team needs.
I see Los Angeles winning this one. Buehler has been on an absolute tear this season, and I expect that to continue. Colorado does have a solid lineup, but Buehler has had too much success to suggest betting against him. I would definitely take the Dodgers -1.5 on Thursday.