Just like the American League, the National League has a clear favorite to win the award. There is also a clear number two that could overtake him. But considering the odds, where is the best place to put your money?
Odds to win N.L. Cy Young
- Jacob deGrom +280
- Max Scherzer +400
- Walker Buehler +800
- Jack Flaherty +1100
- Stephen Strasburg +1300
- Luis Castillo +1800
- Trevor Bauer +1800
- Aaron Nola +2000
- Clayton Kershaw +2200
Jacob deGrom – New York Mets (+280)
The winner of the last two Cy Young awards is an inspiration for all late bloomers. He was already 26 when he was rookie in 2014 and he didn’t reach superstar status until after his 30th birthday.
It’s hard not to picture deGrom winning the award for the third straight year. He’s just so good, and his team is now better. He’ll get more run support, which means more wins, which means even at just +280 this is a very good bet.
Max Scherzer – Washington Nationals (+400)
Max Scherzer is a three-time winner of the award and hasn’t finished out of the top 5 in voting since 2012. That’s a pretty incredible run of dominance. He is definitely deserving of his place at #2 on this list, but at 35 years old and with back issues that resulted in a World Series scratch in October, +400 has me worried.
Scherzer could easily win 25 games while striking out 300 batters. Or, like last year, he could miss enough starts to take him out of the running.
Walker Buehler – Los Angeles Dodgers (+800)
It is a changing of the guard, with Clayton Kershaw no longer the ace of the Dodgers. That is now 25-year old Walker Buehler, who is third on the list of Cy Young favorites.
He has great command, walking just 37 batters in 30 starts last season. He also does a great job of keeping the ball in the park for a guy who throws 97 MPH.
I think he takes another step forward this year, wins 20 games, gets to 250 strikeouts, and is right in the Cy Young mix. At +800 I like this bet.
Jack Flaherty – St. Louis Cardinals (+1100)
Another young guy with a big fastball, and in this case a great swing-and-miss slider, Jack Flaherty was absolutely amazing in the second half of 2019.
In his final 16 starts last year Flaherty game up more than one earned run just three times, while giving up zero earned runs in nine of those games. On July 4th his ERA was 4.90. When the season ended it was 2.75. At just 24 years old he has figured out how to pitch, and I think he’s a great bet at +1100.
Stephen Strasburg – Washington Nationals (+1300)
It feels as though Stephen Strasburg has always been with us, although he’s just 31. And still in search of his first Cy Young award.
Most of his undoing is durability. Last year was the first time he got to 30 starts and 200 innings since 2014. As long as he is pitching he will be in the Cy Young conversation. I just don’t think he has a much of a chance to eclipse everyone else in this field.