The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies are set to face each other in a Saturday matchup that should provide some great pitching. Currently, the Atlanta Braves are favorites in this matchup at -1.5 per most sportsbooks.
In the last 10 games between these two clubs, they are even in runs per game at 4.30. Atlanta has the advantage in hits with 7.50 and strikeouts with 9.40. Philadelphia has the edge in walks at 4.70.
As the favorite, Atlanta has a 33-19 record this season. As the underdog, Philadelphia sports a 6-12 record. Atlanta has a 16-19 record ATS at home.
Nola Trying To Improve
Aaron Nola is looking to get back on track after his previous two starts. In his last outing on June 9, he lost a 4-3 decision to the Cincinnati Reds. He pitched 6 2/3 innings, giving up four hits, three earned runs, and walking three batters. He did manage to strike out seven on 104 pitches.
There are a couple batters in the Atlanta lineup that have had success against Nola. Young superstar Ronald Acuna Jr. is one of them. In seven at-bats, he has three hits, including a double, and a run batted in. With a .429 average, he has seen Nola well.
Another player that has seen Nola well is Josh Donaldson. In eight at-bats, he has three hits, including a home run, and a run batted in. He has also managed to take many pitches in the batter’s box, drawing four walks. With a. 375 average, there is no doubt that Nola should focus on avoiding Donaldson’s sweet spots as much as possible.
This is a tough lineup for any pitcher to face. Nola will certainly have a challenging task ahead of him on Saturday. If he can focus on pitching inside and not leaving baseballs out over the plate, he should be in decent shape. He has the velocity to get away with some risk pitches. However, he can’t make an outing off doing so. If he does, it could be a long afternoon.
Newcomb has been highly effective this season. He has a 1-0 record with a 2.59 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He looks to keep the good vibes rolling against a tough Phillies lineup.
In his last start, which was a win against the Pittsburgh Pirates, Newcomb pitched 4 2/3 innings, giving up a hit and striking out six. Pitching his second win in a row, he looked very impressive on the mound.
Some Phillies hitters have familiarity with Newcomb. Cesar Hernandez sees him best. In seven at-bats, he has three hits, two of which are doubles. He also has two walks to his credit. He has a .429 average against Newcomb.
Of course, you always have to worry about Bryce Harper. In nine at-bats, he has three hits against Newcomb, including two home runs, and five runs batted in. With four walks to boot, Harper seems to feast on Newcomb’s pitching. He has not made life easy on the native from Brockton, Mass.
Bet the Braves in what should be a slugfest, Atlanta has the offense to overtake Philadelphia. It should be a relatively close game and one that will potentially be fun to watch. I would feel comfortable taking the Braves in this one.