The next UFC Fight Night has a great betting option to look at for the main event. This battle is arguably a good candidate for the fight of the night award.
In the main event, check out the lightweight showdown that is between Islam Makhachev and Thiago Moises. This battle is also a good look as to how well these two compare in the division.
- Date:Sat, Jul 17, 9:00 PM
- Venue:UFC Apex
- Watch on:ESPN
- Check out more free picks for July 14th
Makhachev vs Moises Pick
Islam Makhachev (19-1-0)
Makhachev has established a seven-fight win streak after suffering his first. His most recent battle was an excellent showing, with a third-round submission to Drew Dober in March.
Looking at what he brings to the octagon, he has put together three wins by knockout, eight by submission, and eight by decision. As you can see, he has dominated with decisions as submissions.
His striking accuracy is very solid at 56 percent and he has an even better grappling accuracy at 68 percent. He has been able to land 2.00 significant strikes each minute while only taking on 0.77.
Makhachev has an excellent takedown defense, coming in at 93 percent, and has a very solid significant strike defense at 70 percent. For his ground game, he has established 3.46 takedowns and 1.00 submissions every 15 minutes of fight time.
Thiago Moises (15-4-0)
Moises has a three-fight winning streak and will need to fight for his life in this matchup. His latest showing was a unanimous decision to the likes of Alexander Hernandez back in February.
Looking at what he brings to the octagon, he has three victories by knockout, six by submission and six by decision. You could not ask for a more balanced resume and his ability to take the fight in any direction.
His striking accuracy is a bit low for a fighter of his caliber, coming in at 37 percent and has an even lower grappling accuracy at 33 percent. He puts up 2.85 significant strikes each minute while absorbing a fairly high 3.88.
Moises has a respectable takedown defense of around 63 percent and also has about the same when it comes to his significant strike defense at 60 percent. For his ground game, he has established 1.06 takedowns and 1.20 submissions every 15 minutes of fight time.
— Bloody Elbow (@BloodyElbow) July 14, 2021
Odds For Main Event
The market odds showing this battle to weigh heavily in Makhachev’s favor. Looking at the moneyline, DraftKings has the odds currently placed at:
- Makhachev: -675
- Moises: +475
*odds are subject to changes
Potential Winning Pick
Moises has to defend exceptionally well here if he wants any shot of winning. Makhachev is quite aggressive with takedowns and his ability to close out battles by submission.
Makhachev is arguably going to close this fight fairly quickly, potentially by the second round. Look for him to come out strong and take the battle to the ground.
Makhachev wins by submission, at -675