Check out our free Bucks vs Hawks pick and preview for this NBA game in Atlanta. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this NBA matchup.
Bucks vs Hawks NBA Pick & Preview
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks
- Where: Atlanta at State Farm Arena
- Date: Wednesday, January 11th
- Betting Odds ATL +2, MIL -131 | ATL +108 O/U 233.5
So far, the Bucks have put together an overall record of 26-14, while going 21-17-2 vs the spread. In the teams past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Milwaukee is 2-1 vs the spread in these matchups.
The Bucks are coming off a 111-107 win over the Knicks. This away win came despite entering the game as the 1 point underdogs. Milwaukee pulled out the win despite trailing by 5 going into halftime. The team did not put a dent in this deficit in the 3rd quarter, but put together a strong comeback effort in the 4th. In the win, Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in scoring with 22 points on a field goal percentage of 40.0%.
So far, the Hawks have put together an overall record of 19-21, while going 16-23-1 vs the spread. Looking back on Hawks’ previous 3 games, they have a record of 2-1 while averaging 115 points per game. Over this stretch, their ATS mark is 2-1.
The Hawks are coming off a 112-108 win over the Clippers. This win came despite entering the game as the 2 point underdogs. Atlanta only let the Clippers marginally cut into their 14 point halftime lead. Leading the team in scoring was Trae Young, as he contributed 30 points while hitting 52.9% of his shots.
Head To Head Recap & Stats
I Similar to their season-long average, the Bucks averaged 112.67 points per game vs the Hawks. Similar to the Bucks, the Hawks scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs Milwaukee, the team averaged 118.67 points per game. Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Hawks have averaged 117 points per game compared to 113 for Milwaukee. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Atlanta. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 3-2. Combined, they averaged 230 points in these games.
Odds & Free Betting Analysis For This NBA Game
Through 40 games, the Bucks are averaging 112.4 points per contest, placing them 18th in the NBA. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Bucks are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 100.0 per contest. Not only does the team’s offense play at a slower pace, but they their overall lack of efficiency has them ranked 20th in made field goals per game.
Against the Hawks, the Bucks will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 19th in points allowed.
Power-Foward Giannis Antetokounmpo currently leads the Bucks at 31.7 points per game. For the season, he is 2nd in the NBA in usage rate and has taken 23.6% of the team’s field goal attempts. In addition to his scoring, Antetokounmpo is averaging 11.8 boards and 5.2 assists per contest. In today’s game, he is facing off against the NBA’s 19th ranked defense at defending power-fowards. Brook Lopez enters the game sitting second on the team in scoring. Through 39 games, he is averaging 14.5 and is 95th in the league in player efficiency rating.
Through 40 games, Atlanta is the 11th best scoring team at 115.2 points per game. Coming into today’s game, the Hawks will be looking to improve their 3-point shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 10.2 made 3’s per game. Atlanta appears to be a candidate to have some offensive regression as not only are the a below average outside shooting unit, but they are generating free-throws at a rate below the NBA average.
Against the Bucks, the Hawks will need a stronger defensive effort as they are ranked just 21st in points allowed.
On offense, Trae Young leads the Hawks in scoring at 27.5 points per game, placing him 10th in the NBA. Overall, Young has hit 42.2% of his shots while accounting for 22.4% of the team’s looks from the field. In today’s game, he will be working against a defensive unit that is 22nd in points allowed to point-guards. At 20.4 points per game, Dejounte Murray is the 2nd leading scorer for the Hawks. For the season, he is 92nd in the league in player efficiency rating, while posting a field goal percentage of 44.7%.
Bucks vs Hawks Pick
- Free Spread Prediction: Hawks +2
- Free Total Prediction: Under 233.5